What is going to happen in this mid-term election?

I don't know how much polling can be trusted this cycle. Most of it assumes a 50/50 gender split.

In the NY special election recently held, it was women +7. In the Idaho early voting so far, women are at +12. In the 2018 early vote, it was women +8 there.

 

Judging from the post after my question, I guess it is safe to assume that some are much smarter and more aware of where the country is than others. But then again there is always a lot of preaching from posters about how things really are, you know you can't believe your lying eyes!!!!!

 

This is a woman celebrating a colleague's birthday in 1971....in Iran. It shows how things can go downhill quickly when you start moving towards religious based laws, like I don't know, taking away a woman's right to choose? What's next? What would you like to see next? Adultery as a crime?
Edited to be more truthful.

 

I know the prochoice side keeps posing the question of abortion as a religious one so you can make the argument many have. But is outlawing murder a religious law? We can have differing opinions of when life starts, and I think that is fair debate and not sure anyone can provide definitive proof at what point life actually starts. Can we all agree though at some point, still in the womb, that life has been created and the decision to end it should not be taken lightly and possibly laws against ending that life?

 

How is this funny @Orange_and_Bluke ? Esplain yo self.

 

I guess because for all we know, that’s a picture of your mother.

 

Google is your friend.

Here's The Real Reason That Polls Always Survey Way More Democrats Than Republicans

Pollsters fear they’re blowing it again in 2022

 

I mean there’s no link, just a photo.

 

It never was taken lightly.

Most people don't realize that Roe WAS the compromise when enacted.

 

Since it is just a photo, I checked to make sure it was authentic. The only difference is it was a colleague's birthday and it was 1971. Still a stark contrast to what was coming.

Does Pic Show Woman Cutting Birthday Cake in Iran in 1973?

 

Neither of those links supported your initial claim. Google is apparently not your friend.

 

Not sure why you say Lake is a lock. The race is very tight, and all polls have it as a dead heat for the most part. Latest 270 to win has Lake up 1%, but with 7% undecided, to call this race a lock is premature, in my opinion. It really comes down to what motivates many of the undecided in the end. It it simply current economic conditions and inflation? Or more long term issues, like access to abortion and the future of democracy. Masters, Lake, and R nominee for Secretary of State Finchem are all hard core election deniers, and all said they would have not certified the 2020 results in Arizona.

One potential key demographic in Arizona that is very hard to predict is younger voters. The number of young, first time voters in Arizona has been rising as a percentage of the vote every year. They are also very difficult to include in many polls, since they don't have landlines, and never answer their phone. Biden won Arizona in 2020 on the strength of young and minority voters. If they come out in larger numbers again, it could swing the state for both Kelly and Hobbs. But right now, way too close to call anything.

 

I agree Hobbs is a poor candidate. But Lake is a female version of Trump. And remember, Trump lost Arizona in 2020. Her election denial and anti-immigration rhetoric is just about verbatim from Trump. If that's what you want in a candidate, then yes, she's great. But again, Arizona rejected that in 2020 by about 11,000 votes. I expect this vote to be close as well.