Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!

War in Ukraine

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by PITBOSS, Jan 21, 2022.

  1. uftaipan

    uftaipan GC Hall of Fame

    8,530
    1,973
    1,483
    May 31, 2007
    Fresno, CA
    People keep saying that, but they don’t really understand that Ukraine never really had nukes in the sense that you mean. Imagine a scenario where South Dakota suddenly became independent. Yes, they would have physical custody of a goodly number of ICBMs … but no operational control over them. They wouldn’t have the codes to launch them or access to the C2 network to change their targets. Furthermore, those ICBMs are designed to hit targets in the Eastern Hemisphere, so they wouldn’t be able to deter their neighbors with them. Possibly, South Dakota could break down the warheads for the fissionable material and make them into more practical weapons, but that takes quite a bit of expertise that isn’t just sitting around South Dakota. You might say it is in South Dakota’s interest to go ahead and negotiate the return of those weapons in exchange for something else.

    Such was the situation Ukraine had in 1994. Given the information they had at the time, it was not a terrible decision.
     
    • Informative Informative x 4
    • Agree Agree x 3
    • Winner Winner x 2
  2. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

    29,408
    1,802
    1,968
    Apr 19, 2007
    Ok? Why does this mean we have to spend more on defense? We have the highest defense budget in the world by a huge margin. What is one pipeline that hasnt been completed and wont be now suddenly a strategic priority because of a war in Ukraine? Seems people have been trained pretty well around here to double down on all the stuff we've been invested in for decades. Which got us ... here.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  3. gogator7444

    gogator7444 GC Hall of Fame

    3,051
    939
    1,858
    Nov 24, 2021
    Buffalo NY
    Thank you for breaking that down. I thought they were theirs based on the online stuff.
     
  4. gogator7444

    gogator7444 GC Hall of Fame

    3,051
    939
    1,858
    Nov 24, 2021
    Buffalo NY
    Or be accused of being a deep state right-winger. Frankly I'll admit fully & have said repeatedly I'm no expert & have no issues being corrected. I dont watch Fox, I read what comes on my MSN feed, I watch CNN. Etc. So if I've somehow messed up on Keystone apologies all around. I'm sure that was discussed when it happened and that was during my hiatus.

    This isn't the thread for this though and I apologize for derailing jt.
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Friendly Friendly x 1
  5. PerSeGator

    PerSeGator GC Hall of Fame

    2,289
    365
    1,993
    Jun 14, 2014
    Because NATO doesn't have the strength in Europe right now to repel Russia by conventional means. That means they could invade a member state just like they did Ukraine and our only realistic options would be to deploy our nuclear deterrent or let Russia conquer Europe country by country.

    There's just not a choice anymore. We have to build up NATO's European defenses so they can go toe to toe with Russia in a conventional war. Whether it's us that pays for it or the Europeans, someone has to. We can't just hope that Putin calls it a legacy after taking Ukraine.
     
    • Like Like x 2
    • Agree Agree x 2
  6. GatorBen

    GatorBen Premium Member

    6,054
    956
    2,968
    Apr 9, 2007
    Because we’re within a couple thousand people of having the smallest military we’ve had since 1940 in the face of potentially having to fight an actual full scale war for the first time since the early 1970s, and we can’t economically hit Russia where it hurts (the energy sector) because our allies (and to a lesser degree we ourselves) would get stung too bad by cutting the Russian fossil fuel industry out of the world market?

    Those seem like decent reasons to increase military spending and try to improve our energy independence.
     
    • Winner Winner x 3
    • Agree Agree x 2
  7. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

    29,408
    1,802
    1,968
    Apr 19, 2007
    That's just ludicrous. The combined forces of NATO aren't a match militarily for a country with an economy the size of Italy? Good lord. Sort of contradicts the argument that if Ukraine had been allowed in NATO none of this would have happened.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  8. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

    29,408
    1,802
    1,968
    Apr 19, 2007
    This has been a talking point in American politics my whole life!
     
    • Like Like x 1
  9. reboundgtr

    reboundgtr VIP Member

    1,456
    364
    1,808
    Oct 14, 2017
    Jawja
    Anything else besides Trump? Trump Trump Trump….
     
  10. reboundgtr

    reboundgtr VIP Member

    1,456
    364
    1,808
    Oct 14, 2017
    Jawja
    Now that’s not fair making NATO European countries pay for their own defense….the American taxpayer will gladly pick up the bill. Good post.
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  11. reboundgtr

    reboundgtr VIP Member

    1,456
    364
    1,808
    Oct 14, 2017
    Jawja
    Ahh no. Nothing like sending more US service members to die for an issue based on a pretext.
     
  12. mrhansduck

    mrhansduck GC Hall of Fame

    4,565
    956
    1,788
    Nov 23, 2021
    I'm no expert on this stuff, but I have wondered this before. From what I can tell, Russia's GDP is less than New York's. How is it going to afford a long term war against multiple countries if it gets to that?
     
  13. PerSeGator

    PerSeGator GC Hall of Fame

    2,289
    365
    1,993
    Jun 14, 2014
    I mean, feel free to point out the European arsenal that can stop Russia. Carrier battle groups aren't going to win us a ground war in Eastern Europe.
     
  14. LimeyGator

    LimeyGator Official Brexit Reporter!

    Our PM just called Putin a dictator and said "eventually, military support" will take place.

    Interesting given so many accuse his Government of taking a lot of financial support from Russian oligarchs...

    Sadly, he's an idiot. I have no faith in him to do the right thing in supporting Ukraine adequately.
     
    • Informative Informative x 5
  15. VAg8r1

    VAg8r1 GC Hall of Fame

    19,954
    1,596
    1,513
    Apr 8, 2007
    Funny. What comes to mind from repeating the name of the former president is the sound of Russian boots marching into Ukraine.
     
    • Come On Man Come On Man x 1
  16. ncargat1

    ncargat1 VIP Member

    14,298
    6,269
    3,353
    Dec 11, 2009
    So, in your mind, Russia, who just like the United States could not surpress 1 insurgency in a backwater country like Afghanistan, is going to roll across Europe and fight 15+ insurgencies across the continent? And, you would suggest a strategy of returning to the cold war, with massive military spending and presence in Europe? I am not even saying you are wrong, just asking you to clarify your position on what should be done??
     
    • Like Like x 1
  17. GCNumber7

    GCNumber7 VIP Member

    5,669
    380
    518
    Apr 3, 2007
    W is a subject matter expert on unprovoked and unjustified invasions.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  18. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

    29,408
    1,802
    1,968
    Apr 19, 2007
    Are we going to hire mercenaries or something? If you can explain to me how we get numbers for a ground war by spending, let me know. Those tanks and guns need soldiers. We have a massive military budget, yet a small number of soldiers comparitively. Hmm, why is that?
     
  19. PerSeGator

    PerSeGator GC Hall of Fame

    2,289
    365
    1,993
    Jun 14, 2014
    I would rather not rely on insurgencies to save the day. My suggestion would be to have enough tanks, missiles, planes, troops, artillery, and warships stationed in or around Europe to conventionally defeat the invading Russian force we're seeing in Ukraine right now.

    Whether we need Cold War spending levels to achieve that goal is a question I can't answer. It seems to me that the combined forces of all the NATO countries should be able to outmatch Russia without bankrupting the western world, we just have to make it an actual defense objective instead of an afterthought.
     
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2022
    • Like Like x 1
  20. PerSeGator

    PerSeGator GC Hall of Fame

    2,289
    365
    1,993
    Jun 14, 2014
    Our military alone has ~40% more active duty personnel than Russia. The NATO block has close to a billion people in it compared to ~150 million in Russia. You really think we can't find enough manpower to beat them?
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Like Like x 1
    • Winner Winner x 1
    • Informative Informative x 1