Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!
  1. Hi there... Can you please quickly check to make sure your email address is up to date here? Just in case we need to reach out to you or you lose your password. Muchero thanks!

War in Ukraine

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by PITBOSS, Jan 21, 2022.

  1. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

    30,270
    1,912
    2,218
    Apr 19, 2007
    That will always be the case, there will never be a time to examine the conduct of members. That's the benefit to joining. You get to do whatever you want once you are in the club, even backslide on supposed democratic commitments (even here in the USA), because it will always be time to show strength and solidarity in the face of X threat, never the time for self-reflection.
     
    • Winner Winner x 1
  2. gogator7444

    gogator7444 GC Hall of Fame

    3,051
    939
    1,858
    Nov 24, 2021
    Buffalo NY
    It was on the CNN live feed, which now I can't access, but I did find the story on this site (not paywall)

    Zelensky offers Ukraine to be a neutral country and not join NATO

    This was back on Feb 25th or so.

    Also: Why Donbas is at the heart of the Ukraine crisis - CNN

    Where does it say Ukraine was attacking Donbass? It does mention Russians infiltrating & supplying separatists, handing out Russian passports to make people de facto Russians, etc. And again if that's the reasoning, and they're liberators, why extend into the REST of Ukraine, and why have the massively greatest percentage of people fled AWAY from Russia?

    So, no don't buy it. That mess has been going on for a while, & they even got called out on the false flag stuff before they did it.
     
    Last edited: Mar 10, 2022
  3. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

    11,249
    2,005
    3,128
    Jan 5, 2010
    Maine
    That's not the "benefit to joining", but it has happened a couple of times. Nonetheless, by all accounts Ukranians want to be Western.

    Don't let perfect be the enemy of good.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  4. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

    11,249
    2,005
    3,128
    Jan 5, 2010
    Maine
    It's all over the web. Guess the sources.
     
  5. gogator7444

    gogator7444 GC Hall of Fame

    3,051
    939
    1,858
    Nov 24, 2021
    Buffalo NY
    He didn't abide by the Minsk agreement, so he's certainly not going to here. Or at least he'll pretend to to get Russia on the road to recovery, then come up with some other lies.
     
  6. gogator7444

    gogator7444 GC Hall of Fame

    3,051
    939
    1,858
    Nov 24, 2021
    Buffalo NY
    I would still like to know how EU now saying it might be a good idea to have their own EU military to work in coordination with NATO would affect the Ukraine thing/Russia's garbage. Because if Ukraine joins the EU (which will happen) and the EU militarizes, then it's no different than Ukraine being in NATO.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  7. OklahomaGator

    OklahomaGator Jedi Administrator Moderator VIP Member

    124,076
    164,221
    116,973
    Apr 3, 2007
    Yes there is, and EU military action would not involve us necessarily.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  8. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

    30,270
    1,912
    2,218
    Apr 19, 2007
    I don't know what's good about any of this, I sure cant see it.
     
  9. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

    5,886
    1,863
    3,078
    Nov 30, 2010
    seems like a really dumb idea. IMO, the flaws with the EU
    1. common currency is terrible for the little economies
    2. their expansion beyond a trading block to other endeavors - i think they should've only torn down tariffs & other barriers to trade within the EU & negotiated as a block with those outside. Nothing else.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Friendly Friendly x 1
  10. gogator7444

    gogator7444 GC Hall of Fame

    3,051
    939
    1,858
    Nov 24, 2021
    Buffalo NY
    Right but Putin's argument about NATO was the West....yes the US included but the West. EU said they'd work with NATO so it's 6 one way, half dozen the other. Especially since the EU has NATO countries in it, so attacking an EU country would then kick in Article 5, and we're back to square 1.

    It's just all excuses. He's likely sick, wanted to have a glorious quick win for the honor of the Empire, and forgot that in his yes-man world, no one was going to tell him Russia's defense spending was likely going into buying yachts, planes & mansions, and not towards his military.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  11. gogator7444

    gogator7444 GC Hall of Fame

    3,051
    939
    1,858
    Nov 24, 2021
    Buffalo NY
    LOL. CNN live

    "Russia says China refused to supply aircraft parts, according to state media

    From CNN's Chris Liakos

    A top Russian official said on Thursday that China refused to support Russia with aircraft parts as Russia looks to source components following tough aviation sanctions.

    Valery Kudinov, head of the Aircraft Airworthiness Department at the Federal Air Transport Agency, said on Thursday that there were around 70 aircraft in the Russian register before the end of February, Russian state news agency TASS reported.
    ....

    Quoted in TASS, Kudinov said: “As far as I know … China refused,” adding that the search would continue through other countries, possibly through Turkey or India. "Each company will negotiate on its own," Kudinov added.

    The world’s two biggest plane manufacturers, Boeing and Airbus, have both halted supply of aircraft components to Russian airlines."
     
  12. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

    30,270
    1,912
    2,218
    Apr 19, 2007
    Or the UK, Norway, Turkey, etc
     
  13. Swamplizard

    Swamplizard VIP Member

    4,105
    782
    1,833
    Apr 3, 2007
    Orlando, Florida
    • Winner Winner x 1
  14. BLING

    BLING GC Hall of Fame

    8,954
    882
    2,843
    Apr 16, 2007
    Currency exchange is a barrier to trade.
     
  15. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

    5,886
    1,863
    3,078
    Nov 30, 2010
    Ok, then I am in favor of that one. The problem with 1 currency is that a country like Greece which fell on hard times, could not let their currency dive which would have greatly alleviated their pain. It's similar to the problem of using a gold standard. Typically, I thought only non-floating exchange rates would be considered barriers to trade, but it doesn't really matter cuz the benefits to the weak economies of having currencies that can float would far outweigh the costs. Germany is the big beneficiary of 1 currency. Germany acting like they were the victim when they had to bail out Greece was rich.


    EDIT. I guess I was wrong initially in that EU countries do not have to use the Euro.
     
    Last edited: Mar 10, 2022
  16. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

    30,270
    1,912
    2,218
    Apr 19, 2007
    3. Federalism sucks ass, see the United States' governance
     
  17. dingyibvs

    dingyibvs Premium Member

    2,076
    158
    293
    Apr 8, 2007
    You don't rely on "faith", you rely on leverage. The leverage here is a restive, poor, and and Russian-hating populace that Russia will have to deal with if they try to conquer all of Ukraine.

    I don't see where in that article Zelensky said such things. I do see that the article claims he said such things.

    Let's just give it some time, shall we? If Putin's real aim is truly to conquer Ukraine, then he'll do so. If his aims are more limited, then negotiations should start soon and settle on what I predicted. I've noted what I believe to be Putin's maximal aim in the past, this is what I think his more realistic accomplishment will be.

    There's a big difference, to us and by extension to Russia. An EU military would not involve the US and would be more independent from us. This is less threatening to Putin in two ways. One, without US support and zeal in pursuing liberal democracy, the new military alliance has both less intent and capability in pursuing regime change in Russia. Two, an EU military erodes our influence on Europe and therefore there will be some interest from the US as well in keeping it weak and ineffective to promote reliance on the US.

    A pan-EU military has been France's wet dream for many decades, and there's a reason it hasn't come to fruition yet. There are no permanent friends in international politics. If a pan-EU military comes to fruition, there'll be a time when their interests will conflict with ours.

    Ukrainian secret plans to attack Donbass on March 8 (documents)

    This is Russian presentation of "proof", but the talk was there before the invasion and used as a justification. Just to be clear, I don't buy the Russian story. However, since the debate is on whether Russia would be willing to negotiate, this is presented as an evidence of why I think they would. That is, it's an appropriate off-ramp as it accomplishes one of their pronounced goals in "protecting" and "liberating" the Donbass region from Ukraine.
     
    Last edited: Mar 10, 2022
  18. BLING

    BLING GC Hall of Fame

    8,954
    882
    2,843
    Apr 16, 2007
    Yep, not sure if there was a “better” way to do it, and that Greece situation definitely revealed a major flaw in the currency vs sovereign debts.

    But if the goal is “one market”, not sure how you do that without settling on one currency.
     
  19. gogator7444

    gogator7444 GC Hall of Fame

    3,051
    939
    1,858
    Nov 24, 2021
    Buffalo NY
    Here you go. About 1:25 mark.

    Video: Rattled Zelensky ready to talk terms with Putin for 'neutral status' | Daily Mail Online
     
  20. gogator7444

    gogator7444 GC Hall of Fame

    3,051
    939
    1,858
    Nov 24, 2021
    Buffalo NY
    Can everyone get on the same page please? On anything? CNN live

    "State Department stops short of calling Russia's actions "war crimes" after US ambassador to UN says they are

    From CNN's Jennifer Hansler and Sonnet Swire

    US Ambassador to the United Nations Linda Thomas-Greenfield said Thursday that actions committed by Russia against the Ukrainian people are "war crimes."

    “They constitute war crimes; they are attacks on civilians that cannot be justified by any – in any way whatsoever,” Linda Thomas-Greenfiel said in an interview with BBC Newshour.
    State Department spokesperson Ned Price stopped short of declaring Russia’s actions against Ukrainian civilians “war crimes” during a briefing Thursday, instead reiterating that the United States is “supportive of efforts to document and to investigate reports of potential war crimes in Ukraine.”"