Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!

War in Ukraine

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by PITBOSS, Jan 21, 2022.

  1. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

    11,370
    1,018
    698
    Sep 5, 2010
    East Coast of FL
    That is funny, any time I hear a Dem screaming about Putin and Russia I think of the hate Romney got for that, turns out he was very right.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Winner Winner x 1
  2. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

    14,060
    5,221
    3,208
    Nov 25, 2017
    Medvedev was in office then, albeit as Putin’s puppet. Things went south very soon after that. McFaul’s book is a very good read.
     
    • Friendly Friendly x 1
  3. PITBOSS

    PITBOSS GC Hall of Fame

    7,621
    793
    558
    Apr 13, 2007
    Last edited: Feb 22, 2022
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
  4. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

    10,962
    1,889
    3,128
    Jan 5, 2010
    Maine
    Donetsk and luhansk "recognized". One step closer....
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  5. VAg8r1

    VAg8r1 GC Hall of Fame

    20,702
    1,703
    1,763
    Apr 8, 2007
    Said it previously, next step is a Russian controlled corridor between the Donbas and the Crimea. Don't think that Putin will go further though. The defacto annexation of the Eastern Ukraine combined the continued presence of Russian troops along the rest of its border with Ukraine may satisfy Putin enough that he will not launch a full scale invasion. While his ultimate goal may be to reincorporate Ukraine back into Russia as it was under the Soviet Union and Czarist empire, I don't think he will take the risk of an invasion gone bad at this time.
     
  6. gatorchamps960608

    gatorchamps960608 GC Hall of Fame

    4,507
    939
    2,463
    Jul 4, 2020
    Keep an active ear open for the Russia and Putin apologists and excusers like Tucker. True traitors all.
     
    • Agree Agree x 8
  7. chemgator

    chemgator GC Hall of Fame

    13,510
    1,889
    1,318
    Apr 3, 2007
    I'm not so sure. Maybe on the offensive side, they are, but not on the defensive side. I would be surprised if countries like Russia and China could not turn off the power to a third of the U.S. in a matter of hours. Our industrial facilities and utilities (power generation, water treatment, etc.) are built for convenience, not maximum security. Many of them not only allow remote monitoring of the factory's performance, but they allow remote control of the setpoints in the factory.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
    • Informative Informative x 1
  8. BLING

    BLING GC Hall of Fame

    8,675
    843
    2,843
    Apr 16, 2007
    That Colonial pipeline hack was certainly an eye opener.
     
  9. vaxcardinal

    vaxcardinal GC Hall of Fame

    7,043
    1,063
    2,043
    Apr 8, 2007
    yep. We can inflict tremendous damage to their infrastructure if we wanted. We also have the ability to stop attacks. Problem is there would be damage before that attack stops. Kind of like if you have a burst pipe in your house. You can turn off the water but lots of damage before you're able to remember where the shutoff valve is to your house.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  10. ValdostaGatorFan

    ValdostaGatorFan GC Hall of Fame

    2,748
    593
    1,998
    Aug 21, 2007
    TitleTown, USA
    A cyber war would not be pretty and it is something I think about frequently.

    I imagine we have quite a stockpile of 0-days for offensive purposes. For example, Stuxnet was a collection of 0-days and it was going to work one way or another. The one thing I also think about is non-state actors. These countries have a lot of state cyber capabilities, but what about non-state actors? How many massive bot-nets are in the hand of private entities? How many non-state actors will join the cause and run concurrently with state-level attacks? How many non-state actors have already penetrated control networks and installed backdoors? When the state-level attacks start, how many civilian entities join the cause? Hopefully, it never comes to that.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  11. thomadm

    thomadm VIP Member

    2,796
    684
    2,088
    Apr 9, 2007
    Yeah I don't think anyone is disputing that. The problem is what do we do after he has taken it? Imo, you can't let him threaten the Baltic states and Poland or things get real bad from there. The best case scenario is after taking Ukraine there economy is trashed. I don't think Putin survives politically if that happens.
     
  12. slayerxing

    slayerxing GC Hall of Fame

    4,938
    840
    2,078
    Aug 14, 2007
    So … where are all the “no way russia invades” people now?
     
    • Winner Winner x 2
  13. librarywestpatron2005

    librarywestpatron2005 Senior

    279
    100
    1,708
    Jun 29, 2020
    Regarding a corridor, looks like hundreds of miles of land between Crimea and the east. That would take a lot of manpower.
    It wouldn’t be like establishing a corridor between Gainesville and Ocala.
     
  14. BLING

    BLING GC Hall of Fame

    8,675
    843
    2,843
    Apr 16, 2007
    inb4 the “Putin is on a peacekeeping mission, Biden is weak, this is none of the U.S. business anyway, let’s discuss the topic of adoptions” talking points roll out.
     
    Last edited: Feb 22, 2022
    • Winner Winner x 2
  15. VAg8r1

    VAg8r1 GC Hall of Fame

    20,702
    1,703
    1,763
    Apr 8, 2007
    While this is almost six years old it probably still reflects Trump's opinion on the Russian incursion into Ukraine and how he feels about Putin's strategy.
    Trump says he may let Russia keep Crimea
    and let's not forget this

    And if some of the conservatives are going to remind us that sanctions against Russia increased after Trump took office keep in mind that he had little choice since Congress including most members of his own party voted to increase the sanctions by an overwhelming margin leaving the Donald with no alternative to do so.
     
    Last edited: Feb 22, 2022
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Winner Winner x 1
  16. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

    29,780
    1,840
    1,968
    Apr 19, 2007
    Technically they've only mildly escalated the conflict that's been ongoing since 2014. If it stops there, whoever those people are, they would be correct.
     
  17. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

    11,370
    1,018
    698
    Sep 5, 2010
    East Coast of FL
    Just read an article about a non state hacker who was able to wreck havoc on N Korea's net...

    One American Hacker Suddenly Took Down North Korea’s Internet—All Of It (forbes.com)
     
    • Like Like x 2
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
    • Winner Winner x 1
  18. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

    11,370
    1,018
    698
    Sep 5, 2010
    East Coast of FL
    I'lll bet Putin draws the line there. If they take The Ukraine, they get a breadbasket and massive amounts of mineral wealth as well as a large swath of the Black sea coast.
     
  19. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

    11,370
    1,018
    698
    Sep 5, 2010
    East Coast of FL
    Biden may be weak but he has limited options here IMHO, Putin isn't peacekeeping he's taking back par of Mother Russia(some residents do want this BTW).

    I don't know too many Americans who want to get into a shooting war with Russia over the Ukraine.
     
  20. slayerxing

    slayerxing GC Hall of Fame

    4,938
    840
    2,078
    Aug 14, 2007
    I disagree with this concept. Those "rebel controlled" territories are UKRAINE. Russia just illegally recognized them as independent and sent troops in. This is an invasion. Call a duck a duck.
     
    • Winner Winner x 4
    • Agree Agree x 1