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Voter Registrations in Florida & Pennsylvania

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by ETGator1, Apr 28, 2024.

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  1. Oct 4, 2024 #101
    gatorchamps960608

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    I guess it has to be explained again for thick skulls but a lot of new voters are registering as NPAs and they are NOT registering to vote republican.
     
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  2. Oct 7, 2024 #102
    ETGator1

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    Duh! I'm bolding what I bring in from the articles since you refuse to open links provided to read for yourself.
     
  3. Oct 7, 2024 #103
    BigCypressGator1981

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    [​IMG]
     
  4. Oct 7, 2024 #104
    okeechobee

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    This is very interesting data to me not only because it seemingly helps Trump, but I would say all of us would have to agree that these recent stats in PA are indicative of who's got the ground game, right? Which translates to turn out, I would presume. I'm a little pleasantly surprised by these recent numbers, because I have to think a lot of these registrations are at the urging of the GOP surrogates in PA. The Dems are trying to do the same, but it appears they're being outworked. How that plays out in the final vote tally, we shall see. I wonder if there is any comparison data @ETGator1 can pull of other states in past elections that were true toss-ups going in and final vote tally correlated with registrant advantage heading in. I would presume there has to be some correlation, but I'm not an expert in that area.
     
  5. Oct 7, 2024 #105
    ETGator1

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    Highlighted at the Trump Butler Rally was a young fellow named Scott Pressler. He has been working Pennsylvania hard. He also put a spotlight on the Pennsylvania Department of State which was going to shutdown registrations during the Trump rally to do maintenance. They changed course and ended up doing the maintenance in overnight as they likely always do.

    The republican advantage in registrations has been going up every week. The difference is more pronounced this week likely due to the Butler Rally. I don't think we've seen the full benefits of the rally as of this morning which means there will likely be big jumps to the plus side over the next 2 weeks.

    I was originally making difference projections in the mid 330Ks by 10/21, but I'm thinking a number less than 310K now. It's looking more and more like republicans will be the majority party by the 2026 midterms.
     
  6. Oct 7, 2024 #106
    okeechobee

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    And early voting in PA has begun, so we can assume many of these new registrants are doing the same. Just playing devil's advocate here and I can't think of anything other than GOP is doing a better job of turning out new registration which can't be a good sign if you're Team Harris.
     
  7. Oct 7, 2024 #107
    ETGator1

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    Voter registration, confirming already registered voter registrations, and getting out the vote was a major production prior to Trump speaking.

    Elon Musk was invited up by Trump to speak. He was like a broken record, confirm your registration, register if you haven't, and not only vote but get all your friends and relatives out to vote. Elon said he was serious in saying that 2024 may be the last presidential election if Kamala Harris wins.

    Musk also put freedom of speech and censorship on the ballot. He said you can't have a democracy without freedom of speech and the second amendment to protect the 1st amendment.

    Scott Pressler's message was similar to Musk's except he didn't come out and say he was worried this would be the US last presidential election. Pressler challenged all gun owners to get out and vote as nothing is more important than voting at this time. Apparently, gun owners don't vote in high numbers.

    Trump said any Christian or Jew who votes democrat has to be an idiot.
     
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  8. Oct 7, 2024 #108
    gator_jo

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    Is this because of dictator Biden?

    You are not serious people. How any of you have any input in our government, even so much as commenting on it, is simply shocking.


    LOL. Well if the lying, rapist felon said......
     
  9. Oct 7, 2024 #109
    gatorchamps960608

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    Useless thread without new NPA registrations.

    Dems have the lead in early mail voting in PA which is to be expected.
     
  10. Oct 21, 2024 at 4:27 PM #110
    ETGator1

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    Final update on Pennsylvania Voter Registrations:

    currentvotestats.xls

    Voter Registrations by Party through October 21, 2024 - Today is the last day to register for the November 5, 2024 national election:

    Democrats 3,971,607
    Republicans 3,673,783
    Difference 297,824
    Republican Favored One-Week Difference 14,901

    Registrations for the election are closed. The republicans closed on a roll with momentum. The momentum has also been showing in the most current polling.

    Voter Registrations by Party through October 14, 2024:

    Democrats 3,958,835
    Republicans 3,646,110
    Difference 312,725
    Republican Favored One-Week Difference 12,760
    10/21 Projected Difference 299,965

    Momentum with 1 week until registrations close on 10/21 for the 2024 election on November 5 continues on the side of the republicans and continues to accelerate. The one-week difference ending on 10/14 was the highest it has been in the republican's favor.
    ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Voter Registrations by Party through September 30, 2024:

    Democrats 3,941,347
    Republicans 3,608,032
    Difference 333,315
    Republican Favored One-Week Difference 5,081
    10/21 Projected Difference 318,072
     
  11. Oct 21, 2024 at 4:34 PM #111
    ETGator1

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    Final Update on Florida Voter Registrations:

    Voter Registration - By Party Affiliation - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State

    As of 12/31/2023:

    Republicans 5,141,848
    Democrats 4,362,147
    Difference 779,701

    As of May 31, 2024:

    Republicans 5,227,223
    Democrats 4,296,552
    Difference 930,671

    As of June 30, 2024:

    Republicans 5,257,407
    Democrats 4,300,964
    Difference 956,433

    As of July 31, 2024

    Republicans 5,324,654
    Democrats 4,327,859
    Difference 996,795

    As of August 31, 2024

    Republicans 5,385,554
    Democrats 4.359,354
    Difference 1,026,200

    Final Report Before Election:

    Voter Registration - By Party Affiliation - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State

    As of September 30, 2024

    Republicans 5,455,480
    Democrats 4,400,561
    Difference 1,054,919

    Republican projected difference through the October 7, 2024 registration deadline to vote in the national election, 1,061,620.
     
  12. Oct 21, 2024 at 4:47 PM #112
    okeechobee

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    It would just make sense that GOP registration growing at that clip right into an upcoming election would spell trouble for a Democrat, but until the votes are counted, we truly don't know. But yeah, I'd say the likelihood of a person registering GOP in the past month and not voting for Trump or not voting at all is pretty slim to none.
     
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