Trump vs. Harris - Please put all new polls here.

And it keeps getting worse for Kamala. RCP has flipped Wisconsin to Trump. They now have him sweeping the rust belt states and winning 312 electoral votes:

 

Thanks for proving my point! A flood of right wing polls!

 

Absent Rasmussen Wisconsin is essentially a dead heat and keep in mind that in the 2023 election for a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court the liberal candidate beat the conservative in what was nominally a nonpartisan election by over 10 percent, an election that had record turnout for a Supreme Court election in Wisconsin.

 

I absolutely agree with this. There is definitely some behind the scenes stuff to think about. I just get a kick out of how when these polls and the betting lines are going in trumps favor, thats actually a good sign for Harris because of Musk. Seriously? If these numbers were flipped that’s all we’d see on this board is how badly the “orange man” is getting crushed. It’s the insanity of this place that i enjoy.

 

It's pure comedy.

 

Howard University Battleground Poll of Black Voters:

Harris 84%
Trump 8%

Women found abortion to be the most important issue for them.

Harris maintains strong lead among Black swing-state voters in a new poll

 

Is that above or below norm?

 

That's pretty normal and goes against the narrative that black voters are moving to Trump. It's just one poll so take it with a grain of salt.

 

New CBS poll has Trump +3 in Arizona

Gallego is at +9

 

Crazy split. I just don't understand why someone can hate Lake so much and still vote for Trump. They are basically the same. Lake is just a younger, female version of Trump, but the rhetoric is identical.

 

That is weird.

 

I’m just glad not everyone in Arizona has lost their sanity. Lake is an atrocious individual, even worse than Trump, honestly.

 

CEO of Polymarket got called out on Twitter today. This is basically what’s happening with all these right wing, crypto bro betting sites right now. Don’t let them fool you, Trump is not close to being up anywhere near by the margin they’re showing. It’s all a scam with an end goal in case he loses.

 

maybe, but I call BS. No 1's been called out, that post/tweet is ignorant AF.

"This is basically what’s happening with all these right wing, crypto bro betting sites right now."

evidence? i did not see any.

 

For those interested in what poly market actual indicates and why it favors Trump

How four whales betting $25m on Trump are skewing Polymarket’s election odds

 

See the post below yours by Channing. This is what I’ve said from the beginning.

 

this is even more ignorance....25m in a 2b mkt....what?

How in god's name do you know the "whales" care about Trump at all? How do you know they aren't Kamala fans? Feelings?

&, honestly, who thinks, you know how we get peeps to buy more, RAISE the price?

 

It's actually a 200 million market that has had 2b in cumulative trades.

 

Oh, I see. if they are trying to get more Trump suckas, why are they raising the price? &, how do you know these are Trump fans? Further, what is the date of those trades?

1 of my fav adages: there are no bad assets, only badly priced assets.

 

My only assumption is it's like any bookie. If they stand to lose a shitload on Trump winning they need to try and draw money in on Kamala, thus shifting her odds to a higher and higher +. I assume that's the only motivation involved. Doesn't seem like it's a predictive model of anything.