Trump vs. Harris - Please put all new polls here.

And off to the unskewing races we go!

 

This could be a confirmation of AtlasIntel's Trump +3.4 in Michigan:

(2) Trump War Room on X: "Michigan Democrat Senate nominee Elissa Slotkin: "I'm not feeling my best right now about where we are in Kamala Harris in a place like Michigan. We have her under water in our polling." https://t.co/hmMQEZwD94" / X (twitter.com)

Democrat Rep. Elissa Slotkin: Kamala Harris 'Underwater' in Michigan (breitbart.com)

Democrat Rep. Elissa Slotkin: Kamala Harris ‘Underwater’ in Michigan:

Speaking with donors at a fundraiser last Wednesday attended by Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ), Slotkin said she is “not feeling my best right now about where we are on Kamala Harris in a place like Michigan,” a swing state that Trump won in 2016 before losing to Joe Biden in 2020.

“We have her underwater in our polling,” Slotkin said in a video clip obtained by Axios. Slotkin did not provide exact polling numbers and gave no comment when pressed by Axios.

The latest polls out of Michigan show that the race has been tightening between the two candidates, with Harris either holding a slim lead or Trump locked in a virtual tie. The FiveThirtyEight average of polls put Harris up by just two points in the state while a New York Times/Siena College poll put her up by one. Since both polls stand within the margin of error, the race could be best described as a virtual tie.

 

Facts and reality are simply anathema to some posters, especially as desperation takes hold.

 

No, they are not on the list. Can you read or not? The list is in black and white.

 

Who is the only sponsor on polls jointly run by Beacon and Shaw?

 

I don't care. None of the big 4 networks are on the list. You are making something simple hard.

As I said earlier, both the New York Times/Sienna College and Sienna College polls are on the list and ranked in different spots. Just because a poll is commissioned by an entity does not grant them inclusion on a list that has their names nowhere on the list.

 

Yes, we know that you don't care about the reality. You just want a narrative that fits your preferences. However, unfortunately for you, reality does actually exist.

 

Again, and for the last time, none of the big 4 networks are on the list. Done.

 

New poll released today shows Trump +2.2% in Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvania General Election, September 2024 – Trafalgar Group (thetrafalgargroup.org)

AtlasIntel is looking good this morning with Trafalgar Group confirming Trump winning in Pennsylvania.

See post #1240. The Trafalgar Group was the 3rd most accurate pollster in the 2020 presidential election behind 1st ranked AtlasIntel which has it Trump +2.9% in Pennsylvania.

 

A poll of all Kylosians on Earth.

 

Take out Rasmussen and Trafalgar and it’s Harris +1…. Let me ask you a serious question, do you know what the (R) next to Trafalgar means?

 

Do you know what 1st and 3rd most accurate means?

 

Dude, you are just cherry picking a couple years were republicans out performed and their extreme republican bias made them look good ... in 2008 and 2012, and 2022, to name 3, Rasmussen was near dead last in accuracy. ... Overall, Trafalgar is ranked 279 out of 282.

But the reason why I asked if you knew what the (R) meant is because you are making yourself look stupid, first complaining about party sponsored, biased, suppression ,"Made to order" polls ... and they claiming those are best polls a couple posts later

 

Again, what do you not understand about how AtlasIntel and Trafalgar finished 1st and 3rd in the 2020 presidential election, the last presidential election. What happened most recently carries the higher weight:

What Have You Done For Me Lately (youtube.com)

I don't need a history lesson, but you should know 2024 is slipping away from Harris.

The good news for you is the average of the two polls is Trump +2.55% in Pennsylvania which is in the margin of error. However, I wouldn't bet on the error.

 

ET predicting Red Wave. I am having deja vu.



Im a little worried about whatever that GIF is supposed to be. Note to self: Do not search red wave gifs.

 

Why does one data set carry more weight than decades worth of data sets? explain?

Atlas intel is pretty good, ranked #24 strictly on poll result accuracy, but that’s not #1. Trafalgar, in the other hand, is a joke. Where are you getting that they were #3 in 2020?

Just looking at some Trafalgar final swing states polls in 2020, Trump +2 in Penn? Trump +5 in Georgia? Trump +3 in Arizona? LOL… get out of here with that nonsense…

 

Read more and post less. All is in the last 3 or so pages. I'm not going down that road again, but you can for obviously the first time.

 

I apologize if this has been presented, but posting anyway:

2024TeamstersPresidentialEndorsementPollingResults.pdf

NATIONAL:

Teamsters Research Phone Poll (Sept. 9-15, 2024) National Results - US Valid sample of 900 Teamsters Harris Trump Other % of Votes 31.0% 58.0% 11.0% Poll completed following RNC and DNC conventions and Presidential debate. Independently conducted by Lake Research Partners. Teamsters Electronic Member Poll (July 24-Sept. 15, 2024) National Results - US 35,867 Teamsters participated Harris Trump Other % of Votes 34.0% 59.6% 2.0% Electronic magazine poll conducted following President Biden's withdrawal. Independently managed by BallotPoint Election Services.

SWING STATES:

State of Arizona Teamsters Electronic Member Poll (July 24-Sept. 15, 2024) AZ Harris Trump Other % of Votes 38.7% 57.3% 3.1%.

State of Georgia Teamsters Electronic Member Poll (July 24-Sept. 15, 2024) GA Harris Trump Other % of Votes 40.7% 56.3% 2.4%.

State of Michigan Teamsters Electronic Member Poll (July 24-Sept. 15, 2024) MI Harris Trump Other % of Votes 35.2% 61.7% 2.1%.

*State of Nevada Teamsters Electronic Member Poll (July 24-Sept. 15, 2024) NV Harris Trump Other % of Votes 37.3% 59.9% 1.9%.

*If the Teamsters are any indication of the Culinary, it'll be Trump by larger than currently polled.

State of North Carolina Teamsters Electronic Member Poll (July 24-Sept. 15, 2024) NC Harris Trump Other % of Votes 29.2% 69.1% 0.9% National Results - US Harris Trump Other % of Votes 34.0% 59.6% 2.0%.

Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Teamsters Electronic Member Poll (July 24-Sept. 15, 2024) PA Harris Trump Other % of Votes 31.4% 65.3% 1.4%.

State of Wisconsin Teamsters Electronic Member Poll (July 24-Sept. 15, 2024) WI Harris Trump Other % of Votes 40.5% 57.0% 1.6%.

An additional state as I think Virginia is within the margin of error:

Commonwealth of Virginia Teamsters Electronic Member Poll (July 24-Sept. 15, 2024) VA Harris Trump Other % of Votes 25.7% 70.9% 1.5%.

 

I didn't expect to see a menstrual cup surfing on a wave of blood in gif form today. So that's something.