Trump vs. Harris - Please put all new polls here.

I am hoping Rick Scott loses his seat.

 

“The smart money”, as someone here used to call it….

 

Trying to read the tea leaves in Arizona, and current 538 polls have Trump .5%. But it's 47.5% to 47%, leaving 5.5% undecided. This might be shaping up to be a repeat of 2020. Trump ended up with 49%, and Biden with 49.4%, with 1.6% voting third party. Assuming a similar number of double haters are among the 5.5%, and third party will win 1.5% of the undecided, that leaves 4% left for Trump or Harris to woo.

If this holds true, Trump will have to do better than the 49% he did in 2020 to win Arizona.

Looking at the other big state race, and currently that's Gallego with 48% and Lake with 42%. If true, then 5.5% of the voters are backing Trump, but not backing Lake, who is the female version of Trump? If the 10% break 6.8% for Lake and 3.2% for Gallego, we'll have a repeat of 2020 again here too, with Kelly winning with 51.2% of the vote.

Hard to see Gallego losing right now, as he needs only 20.1% of the undecideds to break his way. And Trump only .5% with still a significant undecided population at 5%? It's still a toss-up.

 

Benny Johnson is a douche canoe. Why do you Trumpers enjoy being lied to? We try to tell you ahead of time but you stay in your right wing echo chamber and then when he loses you can’t fathom it because you only listen to sources that tell you the opposite time and time again.

 

PS I fully expect Kamala to win. The Democratic crime machine will see to it.

 

She’s definitely going to win. At least you’re being realistic.