Trump vs. Harris - Please put all new polls here.

I suppose because all the blood rushed from your head to your penis you assumed you were special and got to create a new thread for this?

 

Don’t we already have a thread dedicated to polls?? It’s much easier to go to one location for the latest. There are lots of polls and odds.

This one includes others factors and touts to be very accurate….




Predictions for the 2024 Presidential Elections - Live Forecast — Race to the WH

 

How come the polling thread is now exclusively a betting odds thread???

 

The polls need some analysis and discussion to make it a worthwhile thread. Otherwise, we can all just go to RCP and see the polls ourselves.

 

Well, this site started in 2020, so not a lot of history to back up their touting. Curious why they've deleted all of their projections for Trump v. Biden before he dropped out. That can still be found on most other predictor sites. I wonder if they were as skewed compared to most predictor models the way their Trump v. Harris projections are.

 

Real Clear Politics shows Harris nearly sweeping the swing states...

 

Dactile Favors Harris, 16% greater chance of winning than Trump

 

538 Favors Harris by 15% and is on an uptick.

 

Silver’s site or post #662 aren’t betting odds but attempt to apply a percentage to likely outcome. Not sure they even consider “betting odds”.

looking at polling of voters requires looking at it by state vs overall. e.g. HRC won popular vote but lost.

 

The Economist Has it close, but slightly favors Harris

 

Harris will win.

 

Congressional Generic Ballot Poll Averages:

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He's just salty because his candidate's slumber party is over.

 

The most important and consequential of all predictions, really - this guy simply doesn’t get it wrong. The only time he “missed” was 2000 when he had Gore beating Bush, but let’s be real, Gore DID beat Bush if an audit of Florida was done, so he wasn’t wrong.

 

Exactly. Lichtman has a better resume than any other popular election forecaster

 

I follow them too

 

Even Robert Barnes? No way… Can’t be true.

 

Harris winning people over, it's pretty rare to see Favorable approval ratings for a VP and candidate these days. Trump averages a -10.