Trump vs. Harris - Please put all new polls here.

If Kamala Harris wins we all know MAGA will cry that everything was rigged and/or stolen

 

We also have to consider that RFK Jr. will likely drop out and his voters are more likely to vote Trump.

 

My, how things change. Remember when Okee used to talk about how much Kennedy being in the race hurt Democrats?

 

i also remember when he predicted a blowout by Trump.

 

Okee and predictions - a more tragic love story than the Titanic.

 

So do I. In fact, there just might be a fun post-election thread in the works.

 

I've noticed that @okeechobee doesn't talk about the polls anymore. Are the poll websites down?

 

They convinced people to pay them $9,000,000.

 

I hear he’s now focused on the blood bath in the stock market.

 

Keeping in mind that turnout will be critical in very close races.
Democrats More Excited to Vote than Republicans in Crucial Swing State (msn.com)

 

Some pretty specific polling here, but if Harris holds the blue wall and nothing else, Nebraska 2nd District and their one EC vote is the tie breaker… and she has an 8 point lead, there.

Harris leads Trump in new Nebraska 2nd District poll • Nebraska Examiner

 

If this scenario happens, I’m pretty sure the MAGA pubs will pull some shenanigans in the state legislature to not certify/invalidate the results of this district.

 

Odds are slowly moving back toward Trump in a few mkts. Still a coin-flip for now, but still have a ways to go. Imo Harris needs a stronger more concise platform. price gouging didn’t get traction.

 

Bizarre that Trump would get any traction at all at this point. Guy is a dope who rambles incoherently about the dumbest shit, and constantly says demeaning and unhinged things about service members and the military, and apparently there is still a large portion of Americans who want that for some reason. Lol.

 

Absolutely agree. And they think so much of him they voted for him overwhelmingly in the primary.

 

He doesn't seem to be getting much traction, really. When it was Trump vs. Biden, the polling averages has Trump between 41-43% pretty consistently ... now that it's Harris vs. Trump, he's still at 41-43% consistently ... it's just that Harris surged, about 7 to 8% above where Biden was at, seemingly taking it all from RFK and the undecided -- and now she has started to slip back a bit, about 1/2 a percent so far. A convention bump would be nice to see from here.

 

Polymarket has been all over the place lately. Trump is at 50/49 over Harris currently on there, but it literally changes multiple times a day. The convention bump is what I’m hoping to see myself, but we shall see. I’m just trying to convince myself that people can’t be serious that they would really want Trump another four years, but don’t underestimate the average American voter.

 

Ah, I missed this. This is why Harris odds are dropping today.

Nyt headline

“Kennedy’s Running Mate Suggests They May Drop Out of the Presidential Race and Endorse Trump”

 

If RFK drops out it probably hurts Trump more than helps him, even if they do endorse him, tbh. Those who were voting for RFK did so specifically because they didn’t want Biden OR Trump.

 

Disagree. At best it may be a wash and they stay home. But I don't think many RFK peeps would be coming over to Harris. Most would go Trump or not vote.