Keep in mind, R's have a 6% registration advantage in Maricopa County. 35.5% Rs versus about 29.5% Ds. The early voters on Election Day in Maricopa County usually skews R, as Maricopa County has a large retirement population which also skews R. There are still 7 hours to get in line to vote, and we'll see if current trends hold all the way through. Or, will 2024 voting by registration mirror what happened in 2020, where more Ds voted on election day later in the day in the county?
Also saw that Arizona has a massive number of independents … so just looking at Rs and Ds isn’t the whole story. Got to factor in how the Is will break.
You think gender is going to be more important that political party affiliation in determining how someone votes in an election?
Have you ever thought about joining the MAGA movement? There's always room on the train for converts.
There aree several murals and billboards downtown and yard signs everywhere in the neighborhood our airbnb was in. Albeit we were in what was a nice artsy younger area, so likely more liberal.
This election, it could be the difference. Especially with abortion on the ballot in swing states and others like Iowa. The voting numbers in Maricopa County by party isn't shocking. It's mirroring past elections. Current wait time is now only 2 minutes. But come 4pm local, expext that to get a lot longer.
hopefully MAGA influence over the Republicans party goes away. I'm not so sure that cult influence is too far seeded to go away, though.
So much for vote cannibalization. At least in Florida. We'll see if this holds, but a +20 Trump victory is plausible:
Let's get a beer or coffee next time you visit Atlanta. DM me. If I forget to check it which I rarely do then I believe I have given you my email before correct? Hope you are well.
I realize that, son. I'm telling you there were only 40k mail in ballots returned in Clark county. At best they'll go 2 to 1 Dem. So you get a net +13,333~ votes out of that. It won't move the needle enough..
