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Trump vs. Harris - Please put all new polls here.

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by rivergator, Jul 24, 2024.

  1. G8tas

    G8tas GC Hall of Fame

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    Don't forget that most of the country doesn't like him
     
  2. gator_jo

    gator_jo GC Hall of Fame

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    I glance at the betting odds on two legitimate wagering sites that allow US bettors to place political bets. One has moved to dead even odds, the other now has Harris ahead, with Trump at +100 and Harris at -110.

    (For non-gamblers, that means risk 110 to win 100 on Harris - clearly a less desirable wager than the 1:1 odds they have for Trump of risking 100 to win 100.)
     
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  3. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    Real Clear Politics averages the betting odds from multiple sources and has flipped them to Harris.

    upload_2024-8-9_22-10-31.png
     
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  4. vegasfox

    vegasfox GC Hall of Fame

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  5. GatorNorth

    GatorNorth Premium Member Premium Member

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  6. BigCypressGator1981

    BigCypressGator1981 GC Hall of Fame

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  7. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator VIP Member

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    A two-and-a-half hour video? Yeah, I don't think so.
    Let's go by the actual numbers rather than what two guys say about the numbers, what do you think?
    BTW, I know you quote them all the time and clearly take them as gospel. But no one could look at the actual poll numbers and make that claim. They're either repeating what they simply heard elsewhere or they're purposefully lying.
     
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  8. VAg8r1

    VAg8r1 GC Hall of Fame

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  9. GatorNorth

    GatorNorth Premium Member Premium Member

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    Kennedy clearly pulling more R than D votes at this point. I look for Trump to do everything behind the scenes to get him to drop out. Probably should’ve offered him a VP slot rather than catering to his base with a one trick pony that wasn’t going to move the needle to begin with.
     
    Last edited: Aug 10, 2024
  10. channingcrowderhungry

    channingcrowderhungry Premium Member

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    Yeah, it would be comical to pull the original RFK thread where all the MaGA folks were saying how decimating RFK would be to the Democrats and everyone telling them they were wrong. Shocking
     
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  11. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    Leaves a lot of undecided too.
     
  12. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    Nate silver flipped AZ to Harris today, and she continues to grow her lead in Mich, Penn, and Wisconsin…

    Penn is still close, and would be the tipping point state for Trump, even if she holds on AZ and Nev….

    Georgia is now less than 1%
     
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  13. danmanne65

    danmanne65 GC Hall of Fame

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    I am no longer in fear of trump winning. I am now cautiously optimistic that Harris is going to win big. It’s still possible that republican legislatures ignore the votes but doubt that happens. I think the odds are 50 50 that Trump drops out now trying to cut a deal to stay out of prison.
     
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  14. AndyGator

    AndyGator VIP Member

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    Personally I don’t see Harris pulling ahead to the point trump would concede. I think it will remain reasonably close
     
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  15. danmanne65

    danmanne65 GC Hall of Fame

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    You might be right I keep discounting the mark Twain quote. It’s easier to con people then it is to convince people they have been conned.
     
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  16. vegasfox

    vegasfox GC Hall of Fame

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    If you listened to 15-20 minutes 9f the video you would have realized how cĺueless your position is. I'd like to make you smarter but that's the last thing you want.
     
    Last edited: Aug 11, 2024
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  17. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    Dactile, the election model I linked in post #118, showed a nice Jump for Harris today. She's gone from a 42% chance of winning to a 53% chance in two weeks, in their model.

    upload_2024-8-10_17-42-39.png
     
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  18. l_boy

    l_boy 5500

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    Yeah these days the pro road kill / anti vax voters are mostly MAGA
     
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  19. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    I know that being made dmsrt is the absolute last thing I could ever want.
     
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  20. danmanne65

    danmanne65 GC Hall of Fame

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    upload_2024-8-11_10-11-7.png
     
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