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The election betting thread

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by sflagator, Oct 28, 2024 at 8:35 PM.

  1. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    Except you never invited me to pick the person. Not until I pointed out your scam 4 or 5 times. Why don’t you throw your money into Polymarket and brag to us all about how much cake you won? I’ll be the first person here to congratulate you. Take a screenshot of your wager after it’s made on there so we know you’re not scamming that too.
     
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  2. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    I was capitulating to your ridiculous assertion to show that it wasn't serious, it was just you trying to deflect. But I will do it. For the fifth time, you pick the person and put up the money. Unless you are afraid of losing.

    If you could tell me how to scam polymarket though I'd be interested in that
     
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  3. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    I think @tilly would be a trustworthy $ holder. I'll do it, but I certainly hope that my rep is more chequered than his.
     
  4. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    I'd be fine with @tilly
     
  5. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    Google. You'll know how very quickly if you know how to read at a 3rd grade level. 3 to 1 odds. Have fun. Take a screenshot after you wager not like the one you took when you are trying to make us think you were going to sign up.
     
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  6. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    [​IMG]
     
  7. mrhansduck

    mrhansduck GC Hall of Fame

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    [​IMG]
     
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  8. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    I can't sign up on polymarket it doesn't allow US citizens.

    For somebody who had some shit to say about reading on a third grade level you don't read very well

    again, because you don't seem to get it I don't really want polymarket's money. I want your money. I want you to feel the sting when you have to pay it to me. But you aren't confident enough in your position to risk it. Because you are a [insert relevant word here]
     
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  9. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    You’ll be MIA in 8 days. That’s the much safer bet.
     
  10. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    My Kalshi funds will be available in 1-3 days. I'll post the bet here when I make it.
     
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  11. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    i'll bet you $1000 that doesn't happen either. You don't even have to put up the money with a third-party, I'm just curious if you'll make the bet

    edit: I'm not actually curious because I know you won't, because you're a :emoji_pouting_cat:
     
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  12. G8tas

    G8tas GC Hall of Fame

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  13. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    I don't know why people aren't lining up to take advantage of this I've said numerous times I'm like the worst gambler out there. Although I have made some good money here on GC over the years
     
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  14. smmgtr

    smmgtr VIP Member

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    I follow polls pretty closely, and there's one out today I haven't seen before: The Cooperative Election Survey from Tufts. National survey of 47,000 likely voters, and Harris up by 4. It's listed in 538, but not Real Clear Politics, whch is not surprising. I'd also be intrested to know which polls the RNC commissions because what sflagator says makes perfect sense.
     
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  15. G8tas

    G8tas GC Hall of Fame

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    Florida has had mail-in voting for over 30 years and anyone can request a ballot. By that logic that would make Desantis an illegitimate governor. Is that what you were saying?
     
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  16. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    careful I might scam you.

    One of them was patriot polls I can't remember what the other ones were. It wasn't all of the polls it was just some of them, but they tend to skew the polling average

    i'm not sure national surveys mean a lot. Unfortunately we are once again prisoners to like five counties in Pennsylvania and the rust belt
     
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  17. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    That's indicative of a problem.
     
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  18. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    so are you in on the $1000 That I'll still be here in eight days?
     
  19. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    always some kind of excuse with these guys. gotta blame the mail in ballots, or the absentee ballots, or the regular ballots, or the dominion machines, or sunspots, or the lizard men running the government
     
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  20. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    they are not.