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The election betting thread

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by sflagator, Oct 28, 2024 at 8:35 PM.

  1. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Thanks. I was thinking of you when I asked the Q and knew you'd have the answer. I gotta question the odds, though. Who is getting 4.5 to 1 on Harris and 4 to 1 on Trump? I can see it by making wagers at vastly different times, but that didn't seem to be what WES was suggesting. Also, is the draw a necessary inclusion in the case of the election bet? I guess, if it's an EC bet that there can indeed be a draw.

    Edit: I know those odds are hypotheticals, but is there really such a gambling spread on this election?
     
  2. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    Couple of private bets off-board (with people who I assume don't want to be ID'd because they did it off-board). And I think you missed one here for 100. But that's pretty much it so far.
     
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  3. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Don't mean to pry, but like others mentioned, this has been a fun thread. Was the hundy from other snatch guy?
     
  4. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    I can not speak to the election mkts. & the odds cuz I've no idea. But with all the diff betting sites, it is probably not hard to find some of these opportunities. the individual sites only care about balancing bets so as to make a profit, so using multiple sites could easily yield these opps. Sounds like @WESGATORS has found an arbitrage opp. A draw should only be relevant in a sporting event, not an election...someone's gonna be the next prez.
     
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  5. vegasfox

    vegasfox GC Hall of Fame

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    You're full of it. This was me accepting your bet:

    vegasfox: "You want to go straight up $2,000 on the electoral college? I got Trump. Whoever holds the money gets $200 from the winner. Fair enough? Let's keep it nice and friendly. I'll FedEx my $ 2K in cash to the 3rd party if that's okay."

    Seems simple and straightforward to me. Look how nice I was.



    Here you are making it up again

    vegasfox:
    "If 2 MSM outlets wrongly declare Harris the victor and then retract than I don't lose my money."

    sflgator
    "first time I've read this - you keep adding other stuff in which is kind of my point."

    vegasfox: "first time you read that? 8 mentioned 3 times on that page, posts 229, 232 and 234.

    I made you a simple straightforward bet. I was very friendly and I said I would FedEx $2000 to the mod or whoever of your choice.

    I guess the bet was too big for you and you're looking for excuses to run away. It couldn't be more clear.

    Money talks and you know the rest

     
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  6. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    CRY MORE

    You are right about one thing, you mentioned a MSM mistake earlier, I missed it.
     
    Last edited: Oct 29, 2024 at 8:43 PM
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  7. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    No.
     
  8. cluckugator

    cluckugator VIP Member

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    He didn’t apparently shirk. He didn’t pay. The bet was he proves he got in the 99% on a standardized test, I pay him $2k. If not, he pays me. I’ll spare you the long ass back and forth before and after the bet.
     
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  9. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    Figures
     
  10. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    thanks, needed a laugh, been a long day
     
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  11. GatorJMDZ

    GatorJMDZ gatorjack VIP Member

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    Are they old enough to vote?
     
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  12. AndyGator

    AndyGator VIP Member

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    Depends. Do they have elections in elementary school?
     
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  13. GatorJMDZ

    GatorJMDZ gatorjack VIP Member

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    I had them pegged for 8th grade give or take a year.
     
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  14. vegasfox

    vegasfox GC Hall of Fame

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    If that was the bet show me the quote. The truth is that was not the bet. The bet was I got four 99% on my PCAT, which I did. If the pharmacy school no longer has my PCAT how can I prove it, except to present 3 people who know I smoked the test and had the highest PCAT in my class.

    Pretty obvious I would not have called Victoria in the pharmacy school office on August 9 and offered her $1000 if she could find my PCAT unless I knew what my scores were. She will be working in the pharmacy office Thursday October 31. You can call her and see if I offered her the $1K.

    Obviously if the college of pharmacy doesn't have my PCAT score anymore I can't produce it.

    I do have a retired pharmacy professor and 2 other people who will back me up, but as I predicted you would not accept their testimony. If you did you would have to pay me $2K.

    Now, given what you claim our bet was (you mangled it), I could still take a standardized test and score in the top 1%. Would you pay? Very doubtful.
     
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  15. dangolegators

    dangolegators GC Hall of Fame

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    I have him on ignore, but I know who you are talking about. What year did the guy take the test? It can't be that hard to produce the test results.
     
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  16. l_boy

    l_boy 5500

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    Bet Trump against SFL at 50/50 odds and bet Kamala in the market at less than 50/50 odds so Kamala payout is higher.
     
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  17. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    SFL?
     
  18. mrhansduck

    mrhansduck GC Hall of Fame

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    Think he’s referring to sflagator.
     
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  19. snatchmagnet

    snatchmagnet Bring On The Bacon Premium Member

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    It was around 8th grade that I became the magnet that I am today.
     
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  20. magnetofsnatch

    magnetofsnatch Rudy Ray Moore’s Idol Premium Member

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    I wish I hadn’t known you in 8th grade you piece of garbage.

    @sflagator my bet was identical to this morons; 1k
     
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