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The election betting thread

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by sflagator, Oct 28, 2024 at 8:35 PM.

  1. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    MAGA fans and cultists, put your money with your mouth is:

    After a lunch with my ex employee who now works for the legislature and a GOP polling contractor, I am prepared to bet anyone here almost any amount of money that Harris wins this election

    Rules:

    Harris declared winner by any two of CNN, FOX, or BBC you pay me

    Trump declared winner by any two of CNN, FOX, or BBC I pay you

    Claims of voter fraud or whatever by either side do not void obligation to pay.

    All bets held by a third party to ensure payment.

    Any takers?
     
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  2. sierragator

    sierragator GC Hall of Fame

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    Popcorn please.
     
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  3. danmanne65

    danmanne65 GC Hall of Fame

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    I think this is brilliant but you know no one is going to take you up on this. The pro Trump people aren’t smart enough or rich enough to do this.
     
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  4. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    We'll see. The rules are fair.
     
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  5. BigCypressGator1981

    BigCypressGator1981 GC Hall of Fame

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    @vegasfox

    get in here. You ain’t gonna get better odds than this Mr. professional gambler.
     
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  6. obgator

    obgator GC Hall of Fame

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    I volunteer to be the third party to hold the payments :rolleyes:
     
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  7. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    I hear that @buckeyegator bets with integrity and pays debts in a timely fashion.
     
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  8. ursidman

    ursidman VIP Member

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    Bug Tussle NC
    What info did he have to make you confident? Care to spill?
     
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  9. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    Just that their internal polling indicates they're screwed (but not in NC, where they expect to squeeze out a win), but that the RNC wont accept any real polling so they geek the "red leaning" polls to show the results Lara and the RNC want. This way at least they can still get paid. To be fair he didn't say this verbatim but it wasn't hard to get the gist.

    Also confirmed the polling is super questionable to begin with.

    Maybe I read it completely wrong in which case every MAGA chud here should take this bet.
     
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  10. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    Who’s the 3rd party?
     
  11. HeyItsMe

    HeyItsMe GC Hall of Fame

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    Yep, and this is what I’ve said from the beginning when the betting markets and polling magically skewed towards Trump out of nowhere over night. It’s clear there was massive manipulation going on from the right to make it seem like he’s leading big so they can make baseless claims of election fraud out of nowhere. Know how a poll shouldn’t be taken seriously? When they tell you it’s 50/50 in the popular vote. Know why Harris and Walz have been in places like Kentucky and Texas lately instead? Because I guarantee they have internal polls that show that they are going to landslide Trump in this election so they can turn their focus to state level races in those states where dems have a solid chance at winning.

    Harris is going to win and it won’t be close, as I’ve said since she entered the race.
     
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  12. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    you volunteering?
     
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  13. danmanne65

    danmanne65 GC Hall of Fame

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    So still no takers? Or maybe the Trumpers are betting in private messages. lol
     
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  14. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    Seems like that would be an important detail of your initial proposal and you’re being evasive about it when pressed. I hope you’re not attempting to scam someone.
     
  15. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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    Semi off topic of what will become an ugly thread in a page or 2, but now I’ve seen from both sides they think NC is the best of the swing states for Trump.
    Just what I see publicly says it looks better for her than GA NV and AZ. Would love to see what they’re seeing internally to believe that. Unless it’s just based on simple probability given that it was the reddest of the seven four years ago by about a point and a half and that’s the basic threshold this year.
     
  16. Emmitto

    Emmitto VIP Member

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    I am tempted to take this bet just so I win something before Trump finishes flushing us all straight down the poo place.
     
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  17. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    oh ffs man.... this sort of wild imagination conspiracy mongering is why we have this Trump problem to begin with

    I don't care who it is, I figured that in the universe of people on earth we could probably agree on someone. I don't have anyone in particular in mind. Straightforward enough?
     
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  18. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    Don’t take it. I suspect you’re the type of person he/she is targeting.
     
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  19. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

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    this guy said they're pretty confident that Trump will squeak out North Carolina. That's all I got for you
     
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  20. channingcrowderhungry

    channingcrowderhungry Premium Member

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    Bottom of a pint glass
    Never trust the boy scout leader who volunteers his weekend to take the kids on the camping trip.
     
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