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Schlabach Predicts We Don't Make a Bowl

Discussion in 'RayGator's Swamp Gas' started by ThomasD89, Aug 26, 2023.

  1. ThomasD89

    ThomasD89 GC Hall of Fame

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    • Informative Informative x 2
  2. paidinfull

    paidinfull GC Hall of Fame

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    Who?
     
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  3. Skink

    Skink GC Hall of Fame

    Who in the wide world of sports is this Shlalabach (sp?)
     
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  4. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    • Agree Agree x 3
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  5. lizardbreath

    lizardbreath GC Hall of Fame

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    He's another member of the "never met a Gator they didn't hate club." It's nothing of any actual importance...as usual.
     
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  6. tigator2019

    tigator2019 GC Hall of Fame

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    In my head--- UF
    Predictions in August mean zilch
     
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  7. Brodeur

    Brodeur GC Hall of Fame

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    You'll need to add a good chunk of Las Vegas to that list. They have UF's win total O/U at 5.5, so they think there's about a 50% chance of UF not making a bowl.
     
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  8. ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

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    Hope this Bulletin Board material motivates the team.
     
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  9. paidinfull

    paidinfull GC Hall of Fame

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    No, they think that 50% of the gamblers will bet money UF won’t make a bowl. They set lines to entice an equal split of money, not to predict outcomes.
     
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  10. FranceGator

    FranceGator GC Hall of Fame

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    I don’t mind Schlabach’s projection. It isn’t hate. It’s reasonably in line with most predictions.

    Mandel, though..that dude used to be legit. But that’s total clickbait. I bet he wouldn’t put $10 on it.
     
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  11. Gatorhead

    Gatorhead GC Hall of Fame

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    Look, it's going to be tough to beat Utah, Cam or not. Just look at their current home record and streak.

    BUT, we ain't canon fodder baby! Screw Vegas, bunch of degenerates anyway.
    :ninja3:
     
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  12. Brodeur

    Brodeur GC Hall of Fame

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    This is a popular misconception. First, when people say "Vegas" in this context, they're usually referring to a combination of the bookmakers and sharp (professional) bettors. The fact that win totals lines for the Gators stayed at 5.5 means sharp bettors also roughly agreed with the line. But books also aren't just looking for 50/50 action:

    James Holzhauer: How sportsbooks really make their lines and (early) tips on where to beat them

    "(One note before we begin: A popular misconception is that sportsbooks set their lines in order to get an equal amount of money on each side. Aside from rare exceptions like the Super Bowl or 2017’s Mayweather-McGregor fight, public money is generally not enough of a factor to move the odds. The book typically prefers to keep the line close to the “correct” number and gamble on the result, rather than move to an off-market number and attract a flood of action from advantage players. This means that the popular strategies to look for “sharp vs. square” or “reverse line movement” games will not show an automatic profit.)"
     
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  13. SJB612

    SJB612 GC Hall of Fame

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    Not making a bowl is not that much of a stretch based on last year's performance, a first year QB in our system, and a lot of youth getting a lot of playing time. Of course, I hope he is wrong.
     
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  14. 2oldgator

    2oldgator GC Hall of Fame

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    We certainly don’t have a lot of preseason hype to live up to.
     
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  15. ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

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    The key to us getting a bowl bid and having at least an OK 'rebuild' season is winning 2-out-of-3 road games
    between Kentucky, South Carolina and Mizzou. Plus holding serve and beating Vandy and Arkansas at home.
     
    Last edited: Aug 27, 2023
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  16. garettk

    garettk GC Hall of Fame

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    I predict his wife is unhappy…
     
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  17. gator_n_sc

    gator_n_sc GC Hall of Fame

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    I hope CBN is posting all this bulletin board material inside every doorway, locker and urinal the players use.
     
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  18. Gatorrick22

    Gatorrick22 GC Hall of Fame

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    It's the Gator-hater clown-car they're all climbing on board.

    They all see Napier's 2024 class.... and they know what's about to go down in the SEC..

    Napier and the Gators will take over the top school mantle in the SEC. Mark my words...

    And these haters want to get their hate out there on the record... before they have to publicly praise our team on air, and to the world. :)


    .
     
    Last edited: Aug 26, 2023
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  19. ThomasD89

    ThomasD89 GC Hall of Fame

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    Seasoning for a meal of crow.
     
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  20. MCB51

    MCB51 Moderator

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    I was going to ask that same question and add "who cares whatever this person thinks" His opinion is of no importance to me as my opinion is we will be in one :)