Maryland it is..discuss

Actually, the free throw IS the one shot that you can practice over and over again because there are no variables to it. It is the same shot every time. I haven't see us be that bad from the line. It could have cost us that game. I hope we are better on Thursday.

 

Every shot is 50%?

 

Maybe the Gators just wanted to break the hearts of UConn's coaches and players, but in the second half I saw 3 missed layups, a blown slam dunk, and too many missed free throws followed by a team performance of refusing to lose to close out the final 6 minutes of the game.

Hopefully, UF puts it all together moving forward as UF relaxed in game 1 and played poorly for most of game 2. Thank goodness UConn shot poorly from the 3-point line for most of the game.

 

Oh you can get better at three throw shooting over time, for sure. If your practice has made you a 70% FT shooter, there’s a 49% chance you’ll hit them both, a 40% chance you’ll hit one, and a 9% chance you’ll miss them both. But a 70% shooter can’t really do anything to alter their distribution of outcomes. It’s not like you can take the shot from a different place or screen off the opponent’s free throw defense. 9% of the time, they’ll miss both.

 

According to Eric, Queen has "ballerina feet". He's a smooth big man and a big key. I'd have Chinyelu go hard at him right off the bat on both ends of the floor. He's a freshman so maybe he'll have a hard time handling the spotlight this week after his game winner.

It's time for our guys to shine and show how good they are. No more nerves, only berserker. The rest of our bugs need to follow Haugh's example and go aggressive in the paint.

 

Ha, no. There’s only two outcomes, but that doesn’t mean both outcome is equally likely. In the same way someone playing the lottery can either win the jackpot or not, but they certainly should not expect to win 50% of the lotteries they play.

 

100%. Condon has become a huge liability from the line. Since he gets to the line a lot, it's crucial he makes his FT's.

 

60% of the time it works everytime.

 

Agree. CSU was a poor rebounding team coming into that game and more than held their own. I really think we can work them on the boards.

 

Maryland is 314 out of 364 in bench minutes. Sunday Maryland bench...
2 points
1 assist
0 rebounds
Feed the bigs and get them in foul trouble
or turn it into a track meet.

 

He needs to pull a “Haugh” and jump from a poor free throw shooter to 80%. Amazing what he did, would love Condon to follow suit, of course Haugh had a whole off season to fix his problem.

 

45.7% -> 80.9%

Amazing.

Condo, however, regressed. From not good to pretty darn bad:
67.3% -> 59.2%

 

Can you explain the math to me?
Making both is clear:
.7 x .7 =0.49

Without knowing the math, to get 40% for making both seems like:
1 - .3 - .3 =0.4

Missing both, you just add the other two outcomes together and subtract from 1?

If those last two are right, why do you use those calculations?

Thanks

 

I actually did the first just like you said, panda: (0.7 x 0.7 =0.49) and then the last one the same way (0.3 x 0.3 =0.09). Then took the remainder for the middle, which I estimated at 40%, but you are correct this is an error, it’s actually 42%.

But if wanted to confirm that, we would do 0.7 x 0.3 =0.21 for the case where the shooter hits the first and misses the second, and then do 0.3 x 0.7 =0.21 for the case where the shooter misses the first and hits the second. Then 0.21 + 0.21 =0.42.

 

I wasn’t trying to point out any errors, just didn’t know the right way to calculate the likelihood of the outcomes, aside from making both. Now that I’m old and getting older, I find myself much more interested in math than I was in high school.

Im going to mess around with my limited skills later and see if I can get the expected point total for a 70% shooter in a 1-and-1 situation without looking up how to do it.

 

I know what you mean. As I was doing that last calculation I realized it was actually the same as the Hardy Weinberg equation that I teach my evolution students. Then I thought, man this is probably the first time I used that to calculate something I actually care about, lol.

Let me know how the 1 and 1 calculation goes. That sounds fun.

 

Might be simpler than I thought. My best guess is:
.7 on the first shot
.7 x .7 on the potential second shot
= 1.19 expected points

 

I think we run them out of the building. We have eight better teams in the SEC. They will hang around 40-36 at halftime, and we win by 98-78.