Major Hurricane Idalia hit Florida last week

Flying SWA via TX. Thankfully, SWA allows a change with no addtl fees in this circumstance and the last flight out of ECP tomorrow has seats. Gonna head out tomorrow instead of Wednesday, knock on wood (= side of head). I have good friends in the current projected path. Praying for them and any of you in harm’s way. Kinda getting that guilt feeling when disaster heads away from yourself but towards others; but having had H. Michael in my living room with me I know that such temporal tribulations can be overcome.

 

Two things, one it has been sitting in that same spot off the Yucatan peninsula for seems like over a week. Not sure how they think it will move that far that fast in two days.

I wish it was Tuesday night and the storm was here already so I don't have to deal with a bunch of idiots running around like chickens with their heads cut off.

 

We just got a mandatory evacuation notice effective immediately. So that escalated quickly. :/

 

Wonder when the team was scheduled to leave and how the storm might impact the travel schedule.

 

Speaking of evacuating, do you agree with DeSantis's statement:
"If you’re in a vulnerable area, you evacuate to higher ground in a safe structure,” Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) said in a news conference Monday afternoon. “A lot of times you don’t even need to leave your county.”

I think if I still lived in Florida, I'd have an evacuation bolt-hole, and it wouldn't be in the same county. Sometimes the utilities are down for weeks, no drinking water, no AC. I realize, of course, that not everyone desires, or can afford, to be absent from their home for any length of time during a crisis.

 

Wow, good luck to you. Can I ask from where, who is ordering this early?

 

I feel like it's an appropriate message, particularly given that water poses the biggest safety risk by far. Of course, if people need electricity for their medical equipment, for example, they're going to need a plan to deal with the loss of power. One option would be traveling a bit further inland.

 

You're welcome to come drink beers in Jax. We're only looking at Cat 1

 

Big Jim spotted in GNV headed to Cedar Key

 

Damn, we have been talking about heading up to cedar key for a day or two. Been a long time. Guess it will now be even longer.

 

Well if he is headed there we know it won't go to Cedar Key.

 

Really not that unusual. A storm doesn't move itself, it gets pushed around by other weather systems. There were no good steering currents the past few days, so the depression just lingered off the Yucatan. Now there's an upper level low digging in, tugging it northward and eventually northeast.

Here are the steering currents expected to be in play tomorrow:

 

Yeah, it was almost stationary but the most recent I saw is that it's now moving at 8 mph (North). Not sure how fast it will have to get to make landfall by Wednesday morning. Maybe one of y'all can figure out the math on that.

 

So maybe pushing it closer to due east rather than northeast?

 

where?

 

rarely do you lose potable water unless you are on some small system without proper power back-up. I can't recall a single storm in Collier County where we lost water and power is a generator. At this point, after Charley, Irma, and Ian all went directly over or very near to our place, I am comfortable riding out most anything short of a tornado in our house. There was a small area that lost potable in south lee with Ian and that required that a hospital (affectionately known as W(h)ealth Park) be vacated. I think Charlotte County had some outages from Charlie. It is the sewer systems that are the problem until generators can be put in place at the lift stations, assuming that their control panels don't get flooded or wiped out.

 

Tampa. In he flood zone.