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July CPI = 8.5%

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by ETGator1, Aug 10, 2022.

  1. ETGator1

    ETGator1 GC Hall of Fame

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    Core inflation is unchanged. Economists look to a sub-category of inflation that excludes food and fuel prices, known as core inflation, as a better guide to future inflation than the 8.5% headline number. Core inflation was up 5.9 percent in July compared with 12 months earlier, even with the 5.9 percent recorded in June.
     
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  2. ETGator1

    ETGator1 GC Hall of Fame

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    Considering inflation never exceeded 2.8% under Trump, it's the first step that has to be accomplished come November.

    In the meantime, while knowing they are going to get their asses handed to them in the house along with a 50:50 possibility of losing the senate, the democratic socialist communist party will attempt to inflict as much pain on the American people as possible.
     
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  3. ETGator1

    ETGator1 GC Hall of Fame

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    Just another report you don't know how to read.
     
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  4. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    Bling tried to explain it you above. You are the one confused. If you like, I could try explain it you like a "Johnny has 10 apples" type child-like word problems. Nah, you probably still wouldn't get it...
     
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  5. danmanne65

    danmanne65 GC Hall of Fame

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    DeLand
    I have my son and his girlfriend living with me rent free while going to school. I am thinking I may have to sell him my house no money down for him ever to be able to afford home ownership.
     
  6. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    How is year over year core inflation being less than the headline number a bad thing? No month to month change since June is exactly what it sounds like ...
     
  7. BigCypressGator1981

    BigCypressGator1981 GC Hall of Fame

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    The markets sure like it. Which is fine by me.
     
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  8. dangolegators

    dangolegators GC Hall of Fame

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    LOL. The price of oil is down more than 25% in the last 3 months.
     
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  9. ETGator1

    ETGator1 GC Hall of Fame

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    Well, there is this little thing that inflation on a core basis is running even with the highest inflation recorded in 41 years. Other than that, no problem.

    The gasoline index is down -7.7% in the 8.5% number. Without the Biden Administration selling down the US strategic petroleum reserve which ends at the end of September, the CPI would still be running at 9% instead of 8.5%. The administration has made no energy policy changes to stop inflation from going back up when Joe Biden's executive order ends at the end of September.

    Want to guess what the federal reserve is going to do with interest rates? I say a continued march upward as the federal reserve does know how to read a report and understands how the CPI went down .6 in July while the core inflation rate remained unchanged. If the core rate stays high in August like June and July, I predict another .75 rate increase on September 21.

    I also predict that the Biden Administration will crow about 8.5% while not wanting to answer questions about why there is a -7.7% reduction in the gasoline index.
     
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  10. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    Stop man, you are killing his boner.
     
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  11. l_boy

    l_boy 5500

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    Table 1. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U. S. city average, by expenditure category - 2022 M07 Results

    The unadjusted index basically didn’t change from June to July - there was no net inflation in July.
     
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  12. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    My comment was the monthly numbers are great and it will take time for the year over year numbers to come down... you've done nothing to refute that.

    But don't take my word for it, just look at the stock market. Those are people who put their money where there mouth is, and they love it. They see this report as positive enough that the maybe the fed will stop raising rates and trying to induce a recession...
     
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  13. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    Projected was 8.7, so this was a bit lower.
     
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  14. BigCypressGator1981

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    Seems like good news, no? Weird thread from the OP.
     
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  15. l_boy

    l_boy 5500

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    June 296.311
    July 296.276
     
  16. ETGator1

    ETGator1 GC Hall of Fame

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  17. dangolegators

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    Good lord. This is basic math. Month over month inflation went down.
     
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  18. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    You are absolutely clueless. If the numbers don't change from june to july, that shows a 0.00% increase MONTH OVER MONTH. But how the hell is that going to make a YEAR OVER YEAR number 0.00%? Another report you don't know how to read...
     
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  19. AzCatFan

    AzCatFan GC Hall of Fame

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    The Month over Month number is 0%. The YOY number is what is 8.5%, which is .2% lower than estimated. Core inflation did rise .3%, but that was also lower than expected.

    • On a monthly basis, the price index did not move at all in July. That’s because fuel prices, airfares and used cars declined in price, offsetting increases in rent and food costs.
    • Core inflation was also slower than economists had expected on a monthly basis, climbing by 0.3 percent. In June, that figure was 0.7 percent.
     
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  20. l_boy

    l_boy 5500

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    The inflation numbers are year over year, Watson.
     
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