IMPORTANT Hurricane Milton

No pleasure in posting this....Nadine potentially on the way to the east coast.

MSN

 

Please no.

 

Garbage clickbait article. I would encourage you to take it down rather than spread misleading information.

It's a potential area of interest, low chance to even develop, heading towards the center of the Atlantic, where it will quickly dissipate. 0% chance it becomes a threat to FL, or anywhere else in the US for that matter...

 

They adjusted it a bit, I think they don’t want to change it too much and have people in Tampa decide to stay. Surge in the bay is gonna be catastrophic(and I don’t use that word often).

 

No chance of that happening.

 

Someone forgot to notify the storm.

Invest 93L is on track to just north of Miami with 45 mph winds (it started yesterday out with 15 mph winds) and a 50% chance of developing into a tropical storm within the next 2 days.

Invest 93L LIVE Tracker, Updates & Forecast | Zoom Earth

 

I hope you guys have evacuated.

Main news story over here is your hurricane. Stay very safe!

 

How about Ellijay in the ga mountains?
That’s where we ended up.
Lots of folks up here from Florida too.

 

All these restaurants next year looking back at last years sales will be like “why did we have such a good week last year?”

 

What are you talking about? The 93L blob is in the Atlantic, and the same steering flow driving Milton into FL is taking this out to sea where it will die. Zero threat from 93L.

But don't take my word for it, here's what the nhc says:
Southwestern Atlantic (AL93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a gale-force non-tropical low pressure system located about 375 miles west-southwest of Bermuda have become less organized during the last several hours.
Although environmental conditions are becoming less favorable for development, a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm could still form today or this evening while the low moves northeastward to east-northeastward at around 15 mph. Upper-level winds are forecast to become too strong for further development later tonight.
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48hours... medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days... medium...40 percent.

 

800 AM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024

...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA BY
THIS AFTERNOON...
...PREPARATIONS, INCLUDING EVACUATION IF TOLD TO DO SO, SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.0N 84.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM W OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...915 MB...27.02 INCHES

In this advisory the were confident enough to lower the surge for Tampa Bay

Anna Maria Island, FL to Boca Grande, FL...10-15 ft
Anclote River, FL to Anna Maria Island, FL...8-12 ft
Tampa Bay...8-12 ft
Boca Grande, FL to Bonita Beach, FL...8-12 ft
Charlotte Harbor...8-12 ft
Bonita Beach, FL to Chokoloskee, FL...5-8 ft
Aripeka, FL to Anclote River, FL...4-7 ft
Chokoloskee, FL to Flamingo, FL...3-5 ft
Sebastian Inlet, FL to Altamaha Sound, GA...3-5 ft
Altamaha Sound, GA to Edisto Beach, SC...2-4 ft
Yankeetown, FL to Aripeka, FL...2-4 ft
Dry Tortugas...2-4 ft
St. Johns River...2-4 ft

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/0900Z 24.5N 85.4W 140 KT 160 MPH
12H 09/1800Z 25.9N 84.3W 130 KT 150 MPH
24H 10/0600Z 27.4N 82.6W 115 KT 130 MPH...NEAR THE COAST (Sarasota Bay)
36H 10/1800Z 28.2N 80.5W 70 KT 80 MPH...OVER WATER
48H 11/0600Z 28.8N 76.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 11/1800Z 29.1N 73.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 12/0600Z 29.7N 69.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 13/0600Z 31.3N 62.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 14/0600Z 32.1N 56.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP


If these coordinates hold, the storm will cross between Long Boat Key and St. Armands heading NE and cross into the Atlantic around Melbourne/Satellite Beach.

 

Been appreciating your updates.

 

Was on 95N this early morning and a ghost town. Compared to yesterday when getting through Jacksonville took 2+ hours. For future reference if I evacuate it's going to be at 3am

 

This is what I'm talking about.:

Invest 93L Summary
A tropical development is expected to impact the east coast of Florida in the coming days, with forecasts predicting activity in the Atlantic. Residents are advised to stay informed and prepared for potential weather changes as the system moves closer to land.

Officials are closely monitoring the situation and urging caution as the tropical development continues to strengthen. It is important for residents to follow updates from local authorities and take necessary precautions to ensure their safety during this weather event

Invest 93L Recent News

Area off Florida's southeast coast could spawn tropical system
2 hours ago


Scroll down to the Invest93L section:

Hurricane Milton, Hurricane Leslie, Invest 93L | Watching the Tropics

 

Is it too late to evacuate? Are people better off hunkering down now on the gulf coast?

 

Evacuating closer to when the storm hits I think can be an effective strategy to avoid the congestion - provided that you still have a place to go. Early morning is obviously good too. We left at 5:30am yesterday, and we had a fairly smooth trip.

The worst traffic I ever experienced was the return to Florida after Irma. People leave at different times, but it seemed that we all tried to return at the same moment.

 

Between prepping all day yesterday and doing these plots, its the only thing keeping me sane.