IMPORTANT Hurricane Milton - winds now 165MPH

North of Orl? curious why you're leaving?

 

Unless the projected path shifts before I plan to leave tomorrow morning, there's no reason for me to stay and try to ride out a category 1 or 2 hurricane (by the time it reaches where I am). The projected path earlier today was very close to where I live. While there's not much risk of flooding, my neighborhood has a lot of trees.

 

Interesting enough one of the models seems to bring in SW shear sooner and really prevents it from ramping back up.
Getting away from the yuke will be better for strengthening but it doesn’t have much time before the shear affects it.

While these super powerful storms are an amazing thing the conditions have to be just perfect for them to get like that and it usually doesn’t last long (thankfully).

 

Yeah I saw that outlier too.
Hope it’s wrong and we get door #2.

 

Mom just moved to Port Richey. She is west of US 19, only about 1/4 from the Gulf on the west side of the Mall. Nothing is west of her except salt water marshes. I'm not familiar with this area at all!

If someone knows about that area, I'd freakin really appreciated it. I'm trying to talk her into evacuating (she's in flood zone A on the 1st floor), but she is being a stubborn 79yo lady.

Any advise would be a God send.

 

she needs to vacate. that area is going to have 6 -10' of water in the houses

 

Agreed. Trying to persuade her to evacuate, but she's an old cracker and very stubborn. I live in Colorado and don't know what to do.

 

Is she friends with any neighbors who could convince her to leave?