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Hurricane Milton aiming for Florida

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by oragator1, Oct 5, 2024 at 11:04 AM.

  1. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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    Will likely change, for better or worse, over the next 60 hours. But someone is getting walloped, nowhere else for the water to go.
     
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  2. mrhansduck

    mrhansduck GC Hall of Fame

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    How close would they have to get to see even slight Fujiwhara Effect?
     
  3. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    Dude chill, I had to check there are some pretty crazy things going around out there.


    Brett 1999
    Chantal 1998
    Jerry 1998
    Bonnie 1986
    Alicia 1983

    Those are storms that reached Hurricane strength starting in the Gulf that hit the US, I only went back to 1983.
     
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  4. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    I think it depends on the strength of each system.
     
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  5. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    From what I can tell they won't get close enough to do anything. Moving in the same direction and the smaller area may not even turn into anything.
     
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  6. mrhansduck

    mrhansduck GC Hall of Fame

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    Think I heard DeSantis say today that Florida hotels have agreed to allow pets during emergencies. Did I hear that right? Is that new? Hope it might convince some folks to evacuate who might not otherwise.
     
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  7. Gatorrick22

    Gatorrick22 GC Hall of Fame

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    Thanks for checking this... I don't remember any of these hurricanes starting in the Gulf. I don't even know the names... I draw a blank on these.
     
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  8. dangolegators

    dangolegators GC Hall of Fame

    Apr 26, 2007
    Hanna in 2020 hit Texas. And Francine earlier this year formed mostly in the Gulf. Various others recently, like Idalia in 2023, have formed just south of the Gulf off of the Yucatan Peninsula.
     
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  9. Gatorrick22

    Gatorrick22 GC Hall of Fame

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    Thanks, it just seems like every bad hurricane that has hit Florida in the last 50 or so years were formed in the Atlantic. But then again, the origins of these hurricanes are not my forte. They always seem to always come from far out in the ocean. I hope we don't see anymore hit Florida...
     
  10. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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  11. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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    upload_2024-10-6_22-54-48.png
     
  12. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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    The forecast hasn’t changed much at all with the 11p. Track looks maybe a couple miles north, intensity forecast is still cat 3 or 4 at landfall, intensification still on track. Been a really stable forecast to this point.
    The storm surge is looking worse though with the updated wind projections in the last 12 hours.
    HURRICANE MILTON
     
  13. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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    I have family south of Tampa, local weather there says based on the current track and intensity forecast it would be a cat 3 still coming through there. That’s crazy, they are a decent ways inland.
     
  14. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    Yep I only included ones that formed in the gulf proper.
    The resource I used was only up to 2017.
    I think there were a few more but some might not have made it all the way to Cat 1
     
  15. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    The only good news is that it seems like it may run into some shear the last 12 hours over water which will likely knock the top speed down quite a bit. Fingers crossed on that.
     
  16. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    ft myers beach is just f'd if this happens. another 9' plus wall of water...damn
     
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