Hurricane Milton aiming for Florida

I've looked for that house on Google maps, can't find it. Don't understand, it's only been 60 years or so ...

 

All you really need to do if you are on the coast in a low area is move inland far enough to be above the storm surge and stay safe in a well-built building -- what the evacuation shelters are for. There should be a lot of shelters available.

I known people who got on I75 and kept driving north until they found hotels with vacancies-- when a storm was expected to cross over south florida. Think they ended up on N. Georgia or NC because all the hotels were booked. Then, on the way home, traffic was stopped and barely moving, bumper to bumper, the entire way, once they hit Florida, all the gas stations were out of gas with cars stopped along the side of the road, and a 1/2 mile of cars lined up waiting for gas at every exit ... it took them like 20 hours to get back from north Georgia to Tampa.

At least this one is supposed to start early in the day, and be over by night, so a lot of people may not need to spend the night in shelters.

 

Just watched Levi Cowan's breakdown....


Major takeaways.... How a short wave trough materializes over US will dictate how sharply the storm turns northward. GFS is predicting a deeper dig, and puts landfall further north. Watch the next few models runs to see if this scenario is most likely to materialize.

Milton should peak in intensity as it moves away from the Yucatan, then experience growing wind shear as it approaches florida. The big question is how long it will take for that wind shear to impact the hurricane, but it could (should?) weaken some from peak intensity before landfall. With impacts from wind shear, the worst rain and flood risk could end up being north of the track.

 

Dunedin was like my second home growing up, my grandmother lived right off Milwaukee Ave. near the Blue Jays spring training field.

 

That’s all true hence I was hoping Rick would clarify. I even mentioned the early season storm this year that went into Texas..

 

When I was in the hospital we never had to do it but the plan was home hospital staff would go this the patients.

We always tried to discharge as many as we could in prep for a storm.

 

Always watch him, GFS hasn’t been great for track compared to the EURO which has it on a more northerly track.

 

You mean from the far west Gulf right?

 

My grandparents lived on Milwaukee. My father grew up in that house.

 

Address could have changed in the last 60 years or so.

 

Forecast to become a major hurricane on Monday.

 

5 pm FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/2100Z 22.4N 93.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 07/0600Z 22.2N 92.6W 90 KT 105 MPH
24H 07/1800Z 22.2N 90.9W 110 KT 125 MPH
36H 08/0600Z 22.6N 89.0W 120 KT 140 MPH
48H 08/1800Z 23.6N 86.9W 125 KT 145 MPH
60H 09/0600Z 25.2N 85.1W 120 KT 140 MPH
72H 09/1800Z 27.0N 83.1W 105 KT 120 MPH (40 miles SW of Siesta Key)
96H 10/1800Z 29.8N 77.5W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP (215 miles NE of S Cocoa Beach)
120H 11/1800Z 31.4N 68.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP