Hurricane a'comin (Ian)

My Grandpa who recently passed away had a house in Fleming island. My Grandma may not ever live there again but I guess I'll be going to sandbag the back door as it floods there during normal storms.

 

What elevation is your unit at? NAVD 88?...if on old surveys it may use the NGVD 1923 datum

 

Not sure but looking out the window a surge of about 8-10 feet will get me.

I’ll find out this weekend.

 

What surge was expected with Irma? It seems that Irma was a lot stronger than Ian. Irma went right over our house so our trees and bushes are hurricane pruned already. Areas not hit in a long time will generate a lot more debris which then causes greater damage. Did Tampa get pruned by Irma?

 

If you buy flood insurance I think it should be stated on your policy. Are you stacking the good stuff up high? Good luck, get your insurance stuff together to get it early if possible. It will be interesting to know how the actual surge compares to the predicted surge

 

My sister and her husband whom live in NOLA own a lot near Perdido (Near Pensacola - NAS). That lot used to have my Brother in Laws parents house on it until IVAN when it was washed away to the concrete foundation, with a few pipe's sticking out of the concrete.

They now want to build an ELEVATED home on the lot with all the Hurricane, elevated structural feature (Bell and Whistles) as possible.

The are not on the Barrier Island, they are on the Intercoastal Waterway. Unfortunately when Ivan hit a 30' rip tide blew the barrier island apart right where that house was. it was a brick house, sturdily built in the early 60's, but being non-elevated, it had no chance.

 

The rapid intensification has stalled by the way, some dry air making its way in apparently. Will be interesting to see how long thwt pause lasts and what it means ot the long term intensity forecasts.

 

Thanks. That may be the only bit of positive news I’ve seen all day

 

they did bump it up 5mph on the 2p advisory. So it hasn’t completely stopped apparently, but still not terrible - they had it at a cat 3 by Cuba landfall, and that is tonight after midnight. So to would need to bomb out to make that now. Which it certainly could do.

 

Issue is the likely stall now dumps 10-15 inches of rain even on the east coast, Couple that with the heavy onshore flow for 2-3 days and low lying areas in Jax will be a mess. Just like Irma..
Hoe you fair well.

 

This will be updated as the storm moves north...

 

Agree,
Just giving folks an idea of the current thinking. A 10 foot surge in Tampa would be a big deal.

 

TB has not had a direct hit in my lifetime. Would be devastating on the coastal areas especially where most are unprepared. Its not like SFla where most folks have shutters and many have impact windows and been built with tougher building codes. .
SIL just bought a house on StPete intercoastal and has a boat. Not good.

No matter where it hits, it will be devastating to the state' s insurance fund. The homeowners insurance problem could be getting worse.

Welcome to Florida.

 

100%, I've just seen some people not realize that the chart is not complete for areas north.
A large powerful storm siting SW of Tampa Bay for a day will drive water way inland.

Gonna be a mess unless it pushes back to the west, little hit of Euro doing that, but I see now the 2pn shows a slight wobble to NNW direction have to see if the next 3-6 hours confirm or if it's just a wobble.

 

It will hurt the fund, lots of flood claims however which are mostly federal...

 

Hope we don't find out, but I suspect many older homes, especially in Pinellas with no mortgages won't have flood insurance as was the case in NO. Property losses would be huge for Citizens.

 

If the storm intensifies enough and it comes ashore slightly north of Tampa, the surge could be more than 10 feet. The storm surge from Hurricane Micheal was over 17 feet in Mexico Beach.

 

Regular homeower's doesn't cover Flood.
Unless you have a separate flood policy you aren't covered for rising water.
I don't know that Citizens writes flood as the Feds do, in that case Citizens isn't on the hook.

 

I’m in a condo. We have 16 million in flood insurance and adequate wind on our master policy.


Definitely stacking good stuff up high. Taking valuables with us.