Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!
  1. Gator Country Black Friday special!

    Now's a great time to join or renew and get $20 off your annual VIP subscription! LIMITED QUANTITIES -- for details click here.

How critical is the Miami game?

Discussion in 'RayGator's Swamp Gas' started by gator34654, Aug 1, 2024.

  1. Matthanuf06

    Matthanuf06 GC Hall of Fame

    12,618
    596
    673
    Sep 13, 2007
    That is called random variation. You have to be a piss poor program to never have a good year ever.

    If we are counting teams that have had a pretty good season once every 7 years on average then there are a lot of teams that fit that description.

    We are firmly in a group with Mizzou, Kentucky, Duke, K State, Michigan St, etc. That’s about as mid as mid can be over the last 14-15 years.

    Yeah we aren’t bottom of the barrel P5, but we are firmly middle of the pack.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  2. Wanne15

    Wanne15 GC Hall of Fame

    16,953
    4,314
    3,088
    Jan 18, 2015
    I’ll focus on drinki
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
  3. rmonteag

    rmonteag GC Hall of Fame

    1,719
    1,303
    1,983
    Jul 24, 2010
    Working on the UM campus, I can confirm that Miami feels pretty confident about getting a W in the Swamp...hope our guys are ready!
     
    • Informative Informative x 3
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 1
  4. partdopy

    partdopy GC Hall of Fame

    1,534
    365
    1,973
    Feb 1, 2012
    Maybe his woman is just that quick. Lucky guy.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  5. DieAGator

    DieAGator GC Hall of Fame

    Apr 3, 2007
    What do you all expect from miami's front seven? That's going to be the key to the game. Hope our staff and OL are ready.
     
  6. TrueGator

    TrueGator GC Hall of Fame

    2,201
    962
    2,063
    Nov 11, 2014
    I love it when opponents are overconfident.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
  7. eightiesgator

    eightiesgator GC Hall of Fame

    1,409
    384
    1,883
    Oct 16, 2017
    Not sure I love it when we are, though...
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  8. lizardbreath

    lizardbreath GC Hall of Fame

    2,504
    1,588
    2,018
    Aug 30, 2017
    Pace, FL
    As long as the "we" doesn't include the team...:p
     
    • Agree Agree x 4
    • Winner Winner x 1
  9. TrueGator

    TrueGator GC Hall of Fame

    2,201
    962
    2,063
    Nov 11, 2014
    But... we definitely aren't.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 1
  10. LS1

    LS1 All American

    382
    272
    1,868
    Sep 9, 2015
    Marysville, OH
    It's a crapshoot trying to predict wins and losses, because there are so many variables. What happens if we lose QB1 and QB2 early in the season? Clay Millen is a damn fine backup, but are we really winning 7 games with him?

    What happens if we only win 6 games, but the majority of our losses were by a few points caused by bad luck, poor officiating, etc screwing us at the end? No way Napier loses his job in that scenario either.

    I think we beat Miami by double digits and win AT LEAST 7 games this year. Honestly, 8 plus a bowl win seems reasonable.
     
    • Like Like x 5
    • Agree Agree x 1
  11. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

    10,352
    1,354
    678
    Sep 11, 2022
    All I know is results matter. Talk is cheap.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
    • Funny Funny x 1
  12. G8R92

    G8R92 GC Hall of Fame

    3,245
    355
    353
    Feb 5, 2010
    There's no shortage of financial wannabes and scammers in Miami.


    'Doubt' over company of Miami NIL booster
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Like Like x 1
    • Winner Winner x 1
  13. gatorin1963

    gatorin1963 Junior

    198
    94
    203
    Nov 20, 2016
    . Having been a freshman in 1963, let me assure you that this is not new!! Gators!!!
     
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 2
    • Agree Agree x 1
  14. Skink

    Skink GC Hall of Fame

    In 1963 our fan base wasn’t entitled like we became after finally winning some championships for the first time.
     
  15. gatorin1963

    gatorin1963 Junior

    198
    94
    203
    Nov 20, 2016
    Exactly! The first time we were ranked in the top 25 was a cause for great celebration.
     
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 2
  16. Skink

    Skink GC Hall of Fame

    I had a Gator front license plate that said “Wait Hell - We’ve Waited 40 Years”. It would be another 20 years before we won our first official SEC Championship
     
    • Friendly Friendly x 1
  17. lizardbreath

    lizardbreath GC Hall of Fame

    2,504
    1,588
    2,018
    Aug 30, 2017
    Pace, FL
    Tell it brother.
     
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  18. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

    32,060
    54,973
    3,753
    Apr 8, 2007
    northern MN
    Meh . . . I still don't think this game was as critical as the others I listed. Pessimists (who claim to be realists) will angrily disagree. Optimists might say that there are plenty more opportunities to get the six wins needed for a bowl berth. I say it was one game, albeit a bad one at home against a rival. If they crap the bed against Samford, then this game was more critical than I thought. If they don't though, remember that weird things can happen in game one.
    • 1984 lose 20-32 to Miami, go 9-1-1
    • 1987 lose 4-31 to Miaim, go 6-5 before a bowl loss
    • 2002 blowout UAB, go on to lose 5 games
    • 2003 & 2004 same thing, different patsy in the opener
    There were others (2012 struggle with Bowling Green at the start of an 11-2 season) where the opener was not the most critical or indicative game. I know this slightly interferes with the "fire the coach! fire the AD! our team sucks again!" but it's way too early to dismiss the other games due to this result.
     
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 1
  19. gator34654

    gator34654 GC Hall of Fame

    5,312
    716
    358
    Jun 5, 2007
    Honestly, I feel bad for you in that you are a diehard fan so wanting BN to succeed despite the obvious deficiencies. I wish we were the ones wrong and that your view of BN was the correct one.
     
  20. Matthanuf06

    Matthanuf06 GC Hall of Fame

    12,618
    596
    673
    Sep 13, 2007
    I don’t blame him for wanting Napier to succeed. We are want that. At some point it’s just gaslighting and trying to control speech. The results are the results