How China's Military Views the United States

Of course, one mission from one aircraft carrier of 40 F-35's, loaded with 5-6 missiles each and flying invisible to Chinese radar, can probably sink about a half-year's worth of Chinese ship production. And that's before the submarines get near China's Navy and do their damage. It would probably take a week or two to either eliminate the threat from China's Navy or scare them back into port or ground themselves on the nearest beach. There has been no evidence that China (or Russia) has been able to detect the latest generation of stealth aircraft from the U.S.

 

Bad news. Looks like China is preparing for war. The government is rapidly setting about gathering all arable land so the Chinese can grow their own crops and not rely on trade with outside countries. They seemed to have learned a lesson from Russia in that, when an illegal invasion of another country occurs, foreign countries start cutting off trade. Right now, China is not self-sufficient in food production (it gets some of its food from the U.S.). China imports soy beans, corn wheat, and cereals to feed their livestock. No more Lucky Charms for the cattle. (Not mentioned in this article, but China imports a tremendous amount of hay from California to support dairy farms to try to feed their children milk and make them taller than Americans--a little insecurity there). Maybe, China feels that they will need a lot of protein to support the war, and they don't think that vegetarians are violent enough.

China is also starting to cut down its forests to increase land for agriculture, less than 25 years after doubling their forest lands from 12% to 24%. Ironically, they doubled their forest land because a flood in 1998 did much more damage after many of the trees were cut down. So China is willing to increase their risk of floods to be able to feed themselves during a war to take over Taiwan. The rate of devastation to China's forests exceeds that of Brazil, which should tell you something about the scope of the activity.

Where this gets scary for China is when their animals are visited by various viruses: bird flu, swine flu, etc. China always believes that bigger is better (and more efficient), so they have massive farms with animals practically packed on top of each other, ready to spread diseases at a moment's notice. They really don't have or enforce any regulations on food producers, so viruses run rampant among the animals before anything is done. That may not work so well in a wartime situation, and people could starve (or start getting sick themselves).

This is being compared to Chairman Mao's Great Leap Forward, which killed millions of Chinese people through starvation (and nearly wiped them out before the Nixon administration bailed China out with technology and equipment for 13 fertilizer factories).

The clue China is preparing for war

 

Peripherally related to China (and computer chip production):

A Taiwanese company is building a computer chip factory in Arizona, but is running into some difficulties. The construction of the factory is a year behind schedule, allegedly because the Phoenix area is lacking in "skilled employees" to install specialized equipment.

 

The U.S. Navy would not need to enter the Taiwan Straits to defeat China's Navy. It could easily destroy China's Navy from a distance of 500-1000 miles, using aircraft that cannot be seen on radar. Why take a chance of losing even one ship when it is not necessary to lose any?

 

For China to sink a carrier, they would need to first get an idea where the carrier task force was, and send in so many planes with multiple hypersonic missiles at high speed, and hope that multiple planes got past the air cover, identified the carrier and fired their missiles at it, and the defenses of the carrier and the ships around it had difficulties shooting the missiles down. At least five missiles would have to strike the carrier in different places to cause the carrier to have a good chance of sinking. Yes, it's possible, but no it's not likely. Damaging the carrier with one or two missiles might be possible under those circumstances.

For the U.S. to sink a Chinese carrier, one or two F-35's would have to evade detection, fire multiple missiles at the carrier, and speed off into the night back to their own carrier. It would likely take only 2-3 well-placed missiles to sink it, since China does not have as much experience designing or operating carriers as the U.S., and their carriers are much lighter/smaller than the 113,000-ton U.S. carriers (not as much armor). The damage control systems and training are typically suspect on their ships.

The 2034 book supposes that China develops some revolutionary technology, which is possible, but not a certainty.

 

The cost of your subway station decorations is trivial compared to the cost of keeping the 18-24-year-olds employed for one year (much less ten). Looks like China is committed to the solution of sending its college graduates to work in the fields, and the college graduates are equally (if not more) committed to not working in the fields.

 

Wouldn't help. China does not want any immigration. They are fairly obsessive about national genetic purity.

 

In China, a white person can be hired to pretend to be a resident of a ghost town's apartment complex, to get locals to buy there. White foreigners are believed to know quality when they see it, and that can persuade locals to part with their money. Black foreigners can also be hired for the same purpose, but the Chinese will pay them less. The government does not want white westerners moving permanently to China, because they may start protests for Chinese people's rights.