House Races that have been called!

Seriously @lacuna . You can make everything sound like a written work of literature. I felt like I was there reading this lol.

Hope you and Trucker are feeling better.

 

At this point the House is up in the air but the median scenario is Republicans get 220 or 221, two or 3 seats over 218. So maybe a 4-6 seat seat advantage.

If that turns out to be the case, it could lead to some interesting speaker of the house scenarios. I think the whole house votes. The speaker doesn’t have to be in Congress. If democrats could find someone, maybe a moderate or sane Republican, like Liz Cheney, all line up behind him or her, it would only take a few republicans to jump on board.

 

I love the optimism.

 

Latest results from 2:08 mountain time has boebert - 162,040 trailing Frisch - 160,918. 92 % reporting

 

Thanks, Tilly. He is much better and taking excellent care of me. Embolism will apparently be with me for a while until the eliquis has time to dissolve it, but I am patient in most things, excepting this particular race.

 

A few snippets from Grand Junction Sentinel - Grand Junction's local newspaper. Dozens of votes separate Boebert, Frisch

Boebert returned to Washington Wednesday morning. Since the polls closed she has not posted a single tweet on her personal account or her congressional account.

Frisch beat Boebert in her home county of Garfield. 13,375 over 10,167.

In Mesa County, Boebert leads by more than 13 percentage points, but in Pueblo County, she trails by about 10 points.

 

How about Obama for speaker?

 

you would have to find 3 or 4 republicans willing to vote for him which I don’t see happening.

Maybe somebody like John Kasich.

 

You know I was joking, right?

 

Dems need 8 of 10 of these races… unlikely but possible. Here us where it stands right now: L for losing W for Winning:

CA13: Gray (D) Tied
CA47: K Porter (D) W
WA3: Gluesenkamp Perez (D) W
AZ1: Hodge (D) Winning
AZ6: Engel (D) L
OR6: Salinas (D) Winning
NY22: Conole (D) L
CA22: Salas (D) L
CA41: Rollins (D) L
OR5: McLeod-Skinner (D) L

This assumes Boebert (CO) wins. So Dems can lose 3 if Boebert losses.

Looks like 220 is most likely for Pubs but maybe late mail votes shift it further.

 

It's looking as though the 3rd district winner will not be decided until Thursday, Nov. 17 at the earliest. Gilbert Ortiz, the Pueblo County Clerk and supervisor of elections said his workers have finished counting ballots that came in by election day, but there are hundreds of military and overseas ballots yet to come in. It they were postmarked by the 8th and in before the deadline, they are eligible and will be counted.

Colorado's Congressional District 3 race won't be decided until Thursday at the earliest

"Then there are provisional ballots, which are used by people whose eligibility is in question, and ballots where signatures don't match voter records. Those can be "cured" or fixed through next Thursday too. Ortiz says he also held back about 100 ballots to mix in with the military and overseas ballots to ensure the votes are anonymous.

"Ortiz has been the Pueblo County Clerk for 16 years and is a native of Pueblo. He says the county is up for grabs, 'The more I know about Pueblo, the less I know about how it will vote.'

"He says he has had watchers from both parties monitoring the tabulation process and, he says, both campaigns have also had attorneys present, 'We invited them all into the process and so when I would release numbers I'd sit them all down in a group and we'd go through the numbers. That way both camps had perfect numbers and could report back to their elected official or campaign headquarters with accurate numbers. They always try to pressure me and I always tell them the same thing. This isn't politics to me. This is an election and I'm going to make sure it's as accurate and safe for my judges and staff as possible.'

"Ortiz has just 6 full time staff and 120 election judges. He says they've been putting in 12 hour days tabulating ballots. He expects less than a thousand military, overseas, provisional and cured ballots to come in between now and next Thursday. It's unclear how many ballots are outstanding in the other 25 counties in the district."

 

They have finished counting but I wonder if they have posted all of the results. If they have posted the results then the election is over

 

Democrats still have a path to 220 (+2 to majority)

DEMS 204 now to Pubs 211

LEADING IN 13 - takes Dems to 217
ME 2
CO 8
AZ 1
CA 21
CA 19
CA 6
CA 9
CA 21
CA 22
CA 34
CA 49
CA 47
AK

CLOSE IN 3 - Need 1
CO 3 - down 2,000
AZ 6 - down 1,500
CA 13 - down 100 votes

 

LATEST: Boebert, Frisch watch and wait as ballot count inches ahead in too-close-to-call Colorado race

"U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert held on to a razor-thin lead on Saturday in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, where Democratic challenger Adam Frisch trailed the Republican by just over 1,000 votes.

"Frisch led the incumbent in the count through late Wednesday, but Boebert took the lead early on Thursday and has yet to relinquish it. As of the latest ballot update at 6:13 p.m. Friday, Boebert received 162,040 votes to Frisch's 160,918, a margin of just 1,122 votes, for a roughly one-third of a percentage point difference.

"Thousands of ballots remain to be counted in the Colorado district, though most election officials in the sprawling, 27-county district suspended activity on Friday for the Veterans Day holiday, and so they didn't report new totals. Although ballot processing is set to resume on Monday, most counties in the district aren't expected to post new totals until later in the week.

"That's because voters have until Wednesday to "cure" ballots that were initially rejected due to missing signatures or signatures that didn't appear to match the ones on file, or to provide missing ID, in some cases. Additionally, clerks are awaiting the arrival of ballots from military and overseas voters whose ballots were postmarked by 7 p.m. on Election Day."

 

MSNBC is currently projecting a 219-216 Republican majority and unlike a football game where a win is a win regardless of the margin, if that projection is accurate it will be much easier for the Democrats to persuade four moderate Republicans to support bipartisan legislation than the near impossibility of doing so had the Republicans ended up with a 20 member plus margin following a true wave election.

 

Small chance this could be a seat that makes the difference for Democrats. Would be a lesson for Republicans to move away from crazy and back to simply people with different ideas.

 

Revising. Democrats eliminated from 2 bolded) and still looking shaky in 2.

Democrats still have a very unlikely path to 218

DEMS 204 now to Pubs 212

LEADING IN 12 - takes Dems to 216
ME 2
CO 8
AZ 1
CA 21
CA 19
CA 6
CA 9
CA 21
CA 22
CA 34
CA 49
CA 47
AK

CLOSE IN 2 - Need 2
CO 3 - down 2,000
AZ 6 - down 1,500
CA 13 - down 100 votes

 

FWIW

 

bb