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Helene headed to Florida's Gulf Coast

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by rivergator, Sep 23, 2024.

  1. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator VIP Member

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    Franklin county emergency management:

    Helene Evacuation
    Helene is projected to become a Category 4 hurricane, potentially generating storm surges of up to 20 feet. For comparison, Hurricane Michael produced a surge of 14 feet at Mexico Beach. Evacuate immediately!
     
  2. GatorJMDZ

    GatorJMDZ gatorjack VIP Member

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    Shhhh. Do NOT tell the Haitians!!! It will sound like a free buffet!
     
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  3. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator VIP Member

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    Signs everywhere

    Pas de chiens ici
     
  4. GatorJMDZ

    GatorJMDZ gatorjack VIP Member

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    Damn. In English? Interpreters at every sign?
     
  5. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator VIP Member

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    You know, I went to a lot of damn trouble here, looking for a site to put that in French. A little appreciation is warranted, I think!
     
    Last edited: Sep 26, 2024
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  6. apkgator

    apkgator GC Hall of Fame

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    About 30 feet from the bay....the original ground floor was washed away twice (found the refrigerator and mile away last time) so they gave up on that and just kept the upper level.
     
  7. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator VIP Member

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    A lot of refrigerators must have been on the ground floors. They lined 98.
     
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  8. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    They keep pumping it to Cat 4 however most of the models are backing from that now. Even though it’s forecast run through the loop current the storm is a bit elongated and not very symmetrical, something that’s usually needed for that level. In addition out flow isn’t really great and it looks to be sucking dry air in.

    Good thing is the eye is pretty small 25 nm.

    All on the gulf coast need to be ready either way.
     
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  9. mrhansduck

    mrhansduck GC Hall of Fame

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    Bolded part stood out to me.

    Hurricane Helene Public Advisory

    At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Helene was located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 86.6 West. Helene is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northward or north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected during the next 36 hours. On the forecast track, Helene will move
    across the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Thursday and cross the Florida Big Bend coast Thursday evening. After landfall, Helene is expected to turn northwestward and slow down over the Tennessee Valley on Friday and Saturday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Helene is expected to be a major hurricane when it reaches the Florida Big Bend coast Thursday evening. Weakening is expected after landfall, but Helene's fast forward speed will allow strong, damaging winds, especially in gusts, to penetrate well inland across the southeastern United
    States, including over the higher terrain of the southern
    Appalachians.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km).

    The minimum central pressure reported by Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 972 mb (28.71 inches).
     
  10. GatorJMDZ

    GatorJMDZ gatorjack VIP Member

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    That zoomed completely over my head, I absolutely missed it. My apologies, River, excellent work.
     
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  11. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    ...HELENE STRENGTHENING AND EXPECTED TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS
    AND STORM SURGE TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...
    ...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
    COMPLETION...


    SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...24.2N 86.2W
    ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
    ABOUT 385 MI...625 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles
    (555 km). The Key West Naval Air Station recently reported
    sustained winds of 41 mph (66 km/h) and a wind gust of 64 mph
    (103 km/h).




    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 26/0900Z 24.2N 86.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
    12H 26/1800Z 26.8N 85.2W 100 KT 115 MPH (162 mile WSW of St Pete)
    24H 27/0600Z 31.6N 84.0W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND (Albany, GA 103 miles N of Apalachee Bay)
    36H 27/1800Z 36.1N 84.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    48H 28/0600Z 37.0N 87.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    60H 28/1800Z 36.3N 87.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    72H 29/0600Z 36.3N 86.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    96H 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
     
    Last edited: Sep 26, 2024
  12. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    Getting 30 - 40 mph gusts in Naples this am
     
  13. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    • Informative Informative x 1
  14. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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  15. GatorRade

    GatorRade Rad Scientist

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    Why not both?

    [​IMG]
     
  16. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator VIP Member

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    Forecast track pushes a little east. Landfall tonight around alligator point?
    Then straight to Tallahassee
     
    Last edited: Sep 26, 2024
  17. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    ...HELENE BECOMES A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE WITH SIGNIFICANT
    ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA...
    ...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
    COMPLETION...


    SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...24.5N 85.9W
    ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
    ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
    the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345
    miles (555 km). The Key West Naval Air Station recently reported
    sustained winds of 41 mph (66 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 mph (89
    km/h). An observation in Sand Key recently reported sustained
    winds of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a gust to 58 mph (93 km/h).
     
  18. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    You can see the surf picking up and the weather deteriorating.
     
  19. Tjgators

    Tjgators Premium Member

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  20. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator VIP Member

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    • Agree Agree x 1