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First Field of 64 projections

Discussion in 'GatorGrowl's Diamond Gators' started by jhfxof, Apr 6, 2023.

  1. gator1977

    gator1977 GC Legend

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    Gators' weak SOS is not just because of our in-state opponents, but we've had a "soft schedule" this year in the SEC- not playing west power houses- LSU and Arky, and instead beating up on Ole Miss, Mizzou until runninng into a buzzsaw at Aggieland. My take - to be in the running for a National Seed we will have to close very strong - at minimum win 4 of 6 and win two games in SECT
     
  2. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    All probably better than Ind St, Campbell & UConn...j/s
     
  3. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    Zero chance UF not a top 8 if go at least 3-3 last 6 SEC games.. midweeks mean nothing at this point.
     
  4. ocalaman

    ocalaman GC Hall of Fame

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    We have no more midweeks. Our last midweek game should have been UNF on April 25. The only reason we played FSU last Tuesday was because it was rescheduled from 3/28 due to weather.
     
  5. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    Ok , then they really mean nothing then..;)

    And really, no more? have to be only SEC team , at least, thats the case. Most still have 2 left.
     
  6. MatsideObserver

    MatsideObserver GC Hall of Fame

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    Strange twist to the schedule. If the FSU game had not been rescheduled there would have been no midweek games in May.
     
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  7. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    I actualy like that.. no reason to be playing them last few weeks of season.. And if a bubble team they usually do nothing but hurt RPI.. Why Bianco canceled one or 2 last year late. Pretty sure AU softball did same thing last week vs Ala St.. Just cancelled no reason given..lol
     
  8. MatsideObserver

    MatsideObserver GC Hall of Fame

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    I was kinda thinking the same thing - you don't have to drop a RPI killer in May if you don't schedule any lol
     
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  9. 407king

    407king VIP Member

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    Yeah, I think UF would get a top 8 seed with either a win in the final 2 series. Interested to see how some other series the last 2 weeks play out.
     
  10. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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  11. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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    The baseball seedlings always frustrate me because they give too much weight to RPI and not enough to the more advanced models. Our ELO is five, but our RPI is 11.
    But it doesn’t matter much, we have Vandy and UK left, we will determine our own fate.
     
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  12. GatorLurker

    GatorLurker GC Hall of Fame

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    How badly did three games with FSU hurt our RPI?
     
  13. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    WVU a top 8 w/ 18 RPI..ELo 12

    I overlooked them when guessed my top 8 b/c so far down rpi.. but 10-3 v Q1 is pretty strong

    With that said Morgantown would be high on my prefernce list as a 2/3 seed. Not that Stors is bad either.. Not that Butch cares where regionals are,, same results. ;)
     
  14. MatsideObserver

    MatsideObserver GC Hall of Fame

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    lol fortunately we didn’t lose any of them to compound the damage.
     
  15. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    received plus points for every win. so none..just didnt help as much as normal
     
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  16. GatorLurker

    GatorLurker GC Hall of Fame

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    I looked at Indiana State's record and am trying to see what is so impressive other than winning a midweek game at Vandy.
     
  17. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

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    2 really bad losses in the first couple of weeks of the season (USF and JU), but I think the bigger issue is being 5th or 6th in the SEC by some metrics. As mentioned above, there's opportunity to secure a top 8.

    Go GATORS!
    ,WESGATORS
     
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  18. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    yep I dont get them either.. 2-9 vs Q1.. and 14 of 33 wins are v Q4.. they are also a big reason UK RPI stayed so high during losing streak(series)

    Ind St is very similar to lsu softball in regards to rpi.. makes zero sense IMO.
     
  19. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

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    yep on the sec placement.
     
  20. Matherly87

    Matherly87 GC Hall of Fame

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    D1 is out and has us as a 9 seed but I'm more surprised they have Kentucky as the 8 seed. Again we control where we end up but it seems they are assuming UK wins the series to jump us 2 weeks in advance.