First Field of 64 projections

Thanks for these. I remember last year looking forward each week for the update while the anticipation grows for Regionals.

 

Weird, I know its early and lots of factors like SOS go into this but #14 Campbell gets to host a Regional but number #15 FGCU barely makes it in as a 4 seed. I guess that's why they call it projections.

 

Campbell has an RPI of 13 and an ELO of 21
FGCU has an RPI of 56 and an ELO of 31

I think FGCU comes in a little higher in the rankings than they should because of a series win in Tallahassee. Talk about a team spiraling out of control right now. That Clemson series pits the two worst teams in the conference against each other this weekend (neither makes the ACCT if the season ended today). SWAC has already set a program record for most consecutive losses.

Go GATORS!
,WESGATORS

 

Where's FSU? Lol

 

Seems like the Gators are a little low, but not much difference between a 1 and 8 seed. I am fine with them anywhere in that range. Win your Regional and you host a Super.

 

Fresno State is out?

I thought the were a 4 seed in some region.

 

They're having a rough year. Midweek games have not been kind. Last week they were routed by RPI #185 at home.

Fresno State Baseball Schedule Scores & Stats | WarrenNolan.com

*EDIT* just saw they were in the Stanford Regional, projected to win their conference's autobid.

Go GATORS!
,WESGATORS

 

In the SEC (last year missed, SEC record, RPI):

Vandy (2005, 13-17, RPI = 30)
FLORIDA (2007, 15-15, RPI = 36)
LSU (2011, 13-17, RPI = 23)
Arkansas (2016, 7-23, RPI = 121)
Ole Miss (2017, 14-16, RPI = 38)
Tennessee (2018, 12-18, RPI = 76)
Auburn (2021, 10-20, RPI = 99)
Texas A&M (2021, 9-21, RPI = 87)
Georgia (2021, 13-17, RPI = 40)
everybody else (2022)

Go GATORS!
,WESGATORS

 

Last year the worst SEC team to make the field won it all.

If any SEC team makes the field they have a shot at winning it all.

 

They missed in 2016. 35-19, RPI = 44, 5th in conference at 16-14.

In the ACC, the 2nd longest streak is UNC with 5 in a row.

Go GATORS!
,WESGATORS

 

Vandy would be next (16 I think?), followed by Florida (14?). Miami held the record until 2017 I believe.

edit: Tx A&M missed in 2021 or they would be 2nd.

 

FGCU’s toughest games against FSU. Their schedule hurts them. No Miami, no Florida.

 

Yup on FGCU, when toughest games or best wins are FSU and you don’t play Florida or Miami can’t lose many. If they stay below 11-12 losses they may be ok but again schedule.