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Exclusive-Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by BigCypressGator1981, Jul 23, 2024.

  1. HeyItsMe

    HeyItsMe GC Hall of Fame

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    Which is precisely why I see no way Trump wins now that Biden has been replaced. Trump has never won a single popular vote since he started running, and a huge population of this country absolutely despise him. Now that more boomers have passed away since 2020, and more Gen Z voters are eligible, where is his path to victory? Harris is going to pick up a large chunk of the black vote, a large chunk of the female vote, and she’s definitely going to win with young voters, with which there are a record amount now registered to vote. I think once November rolls around, Harris wins easily.
     
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  2. HeyItsMe

    HeyItsMe GC Hall of Fame

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    Harris rolls in November. Don’t underestimate the amount of people in this country who hate Trump. See 2020.
     
    Last edited: Jul 23, 2024
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  3. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    Good points. The quinnipeg break down I was just looking at had Harris gaining 40% with black voters, she went to 90% from Biden’s 50%… it was getting out the black votes in Atlanta, Detroit, Milwaukee, and Philadelphia that handed Biden the easy win and made all the difference from 2016
     
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  4. 108

    108 Premium Member

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    Personally went from literally zero enthusiasm and simply a vote against Trump, to peaking my interest now.

    Who is looking like the VP pick?
     
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  5. channingcrowderhungry

    channingcrowderhungry Premium Member

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    I've always felt this way but just assumed I was deep in my bias
     
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  6. mrhansduck

    mrhansduck GC Hall of Fame

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    Biden himself got blown out by Walter Mondale and Michael Dukakis in 1984 and 1988, and I don't think Biden got any delegates during his third try in 2008. Thankfully, he was popular enough to defeat Trump in 2020, although that might have been as much about Trump defeating himself as anything.
     
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  7. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Our polls are better than yours!

    [​IMG]
     
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  8. AzCatFan

    AzCatFan GC Hall of Fame

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    Not sure Harris rolls easily. But agree turnout is key. Minority and younger voters could propel Harris to victory. These are people who didn't like either Trump or Biden, and may have stayed home and not voted. If Harris can get them to the polls, and win over the undecideds who didn't like either choice but were always going to vote, she has a path to victory.
     
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  9. BigCypressGator1981

    BigCypressGator1981 GC Hall of Fame

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    I don’t think anyone “rolls.”

    But I would love that.
     
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  10. ajoseph

    ajoseph Premium Member

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    The Dems went to having almost no chance of winning the presidency or the down-balloting due to lack of interest in Biden, to suddenly generating some enthusiasm which will only grow as the DNC leads to its Convention. The timing of Biden’s announcement was possibly perfect.
     
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  11. vegasfox

    vegasfox GC Hall of Fame

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    Trump won 4 years ago.imo
    The election.was rigged just like the Dem.nomination was rigged this year. RFK Jr couldn't even run as a Democrat.
     
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  12. HeyItsMe

    HeyItsMe GC Hall of Fame

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    Lmao.
     
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  13. channingcrowderhungry

    channingcrowderhungry Premium Member

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    Gonna be even easier to rig in 2024 with Dems already in power. Hell yeah brother
     
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  14. HeyItsMe

    HeyItsMe GC Hall of Fame

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    It’s going to happen. The polls have completely overestimated Trump and underestimated simply how much a large portion of this country absolutely hates him. If young voters have any type of a decent turn out, like in 2020, Harris wins. Period.
     
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  15. AzCatFan

    AzCatFan GC Hall of Fame

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    I'm a D that lives in Maricopa County, AZ. Already ordered my 10,000, Asian produced copy ballots. And I'm recruiting mules to drop them off as I type. Lol.
     
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  16. ajoseph

    ajoseph Premium Member

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    That would be a first. The polls have usually underestimated Trump(due to the embarrassment people have for voting for the depraved one, people lied to pollsters.)
     
  17. g8trjax

    g8trjax GC Hall of Fame

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    Eh, probably heavily dem oversampled. Gotta get the lefties fired up somehow.
     
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  18. Emmitto

    Emmitto VIP Member

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    Well she isn’t an idiot. So…
     
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  19. BigCypressGator1981

    BigCypressGator1981 GC Hall of Fame

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    We need 1,999 more just like you. Thank you for your service.
     
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  20. ursidman

    ursidman VIP Member

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    Bug Tussle NC
    This will be easy since Kamala is VP and gets to be the one to decide whether a state’s electoral votes should count or not. Get Eastman on this.
     
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