Coronavirus - International stories and thoughts

I posted in the Trump is outing project back to work thread a college study there that showed that 250,000 people would die under that plan. So they shifted gears. It is a short thread. Forgive me for not linking it. Again

 

. The study is linked here.

 

Does this also mean it will keep coming back?

 

hence, they are working to develop a vaccine as quickly as possible...I believe Fauci suggested 12-18 months to develop a vaccine.

 

Your point is about the validity of Chinese contribution, etc. I believe you are saying it’s overblown. Fair enough. But no matter how minimal, it vastly exceeds the contribution of the United States. By design. As currently governed, we have stated that we dot wish to be a world leader. And no one looking at our current leadership would expect it.

The point is not the extent of Chinese leadership. The point is that we exhibit none. Just the opposite. It’s plain we are led by a minimally functioning evil idiot.

We have said we don’t care. He has said that relationships between nations are for suckers, that we were being exploited. This is the result

 

Obviously way to early to draw any conclusions

 

Australian coronavirus cases leap as lockdown broadens

 

Self reply.

So, this is promising. Italy sees it's first significant two-day decline. Weird that deaths and cases are lockstep. I would think deaths would lag. Anyway:





I'm glad we didn't see a continuation of the sine wave growth.

 

Great news, that means our early states should also start showing a decline in the next few days, and most of the rest of us in 10-14 days.

 

Italy went on lockdown basically between March 4th and 8th. So it's been approximately 20 days. Based on what they say about the long incubation period, I would also have assumed the "new cases" should be coming down first (and 20 days makes 100% perfect sense for that), whereas deaths should have taken an other week or two to level off after that. But we'll take that extra bit of good news where we can get it. Hopefully this trend holds up.

 

Italy spiked back up in deaths and cases, 743 deaths today. Didn’t Quite hit their max from the other day though.

 

That's a bummer.

It's hard to read trends looking at this data so granularly (daily). Maybe we see a decreasing sine wave going forward.

 

Italian coronavirus cases seen "10 times higher" than official tally

ROME (Reuters) - The number of coronavirus cases in Italy is probably 10 times higher than the official tally, the head of the agency collating the data said on Tuesday as the government readied new measures to force people to stay at home.

 

UK asks for 250,000 volunteers to help its health service cope with the coronavirus outbreak

But yeah, let’s go back to work.

 

Moscow's coronavirus outbreak much worse than it looks, Putin ally says

The mayor of Moscow told President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday that the number of coronavirus cases in the Russian capital far exceeded the official figures, as Putin donned a protective suit and respirator to visit a hospital.

 

I looked at the mathematics on this, and it appears the good professor made a couple of mistakes. It appears that his formula is to take the number of people who are infected by one person, and raise it to the power of the number of "cycles". Three raised to the tenth power does equal about 59,000. However, 1.4 raised to the tenth power equals 29, not 14. And if the coronavirus is 3 times more infectious, each person should infect an average of 4.2 people (3 x 1.4), not 3 people. And 4.2 raised to the tenth power is a much larger 1.7 million people.

 

This is the saddest thing I’ve read during this pandemic
Spanish Military Finds Dead Bodies And Seniors 'Completely Abandoned' In Care Homes

 

It is sad. That's what fear does to people.

 

Those staff members should get life. Disgusting.

 

Canada has this thing licked.