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Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by GatorNorth, Feb 25, 2020.

  1. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    I have interpreted your position as being that cases were rising because of testing increases, not just that both happened to be happening at the same time. Regardless, do you think infection is spreading given that both testing numbers and percentage of positive tests have risen? If not, what other explanation could there be for those two numbers (testing and positive test percentage) rising?
     
  2. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    Vents are now option of last resort as treatment protocols have changed. Appx 80% of those who get put on vents do not survive
     
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  3. dangolegators

    dangolegators GC Hall of Fame

    Apr 26, 2007
    I don't who you are talking about. One of the main models (IHME) back in April had us down to near 0 deaths per day by now. That obviously has not happened.
     
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  4. gator_lawyer

    gator_lawyer VIP Member

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    @buckeyegator, hospitalizations are up in Texas in a major way:
     
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  5. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

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  6. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

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  7. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

    This is why the overall number is misleading. Click on the link below and then go through the graph of our 100 counties. Only 3 or 4 are showing increases while the other 96 or so are showing a steady hold or decrease.

    The positive cases are in a couple little hotspots. NOW is when we isolate those spots.

    Of course flair ups will happen...but most of this state is not seeing a spike.
    It just isn't. It may tomorrow, but at the moment it is not.
     
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  8. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    North Carolina Coronavirus Map and Case Count

    I count 43 counties with rising totals, including Mecklenburg, Wake, Durham, and Forsyth. The light orange, darker orange, and red are all rising.
     
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  9. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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  10. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

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    Already too late where there are “hot sports.” This country didn’t have the discipline to do what countries who drove the cases to very low levels. It is full of people with opinions who reach false conclusions based on data (like the percentage of positive cases is going
    Down, short term trends and the like; not going to wear masks). The “cases are for up because we are testing more” really reflects a profound ignorance of virology and the pathetic leadership taking us through this. Because it doesn’t mean we are beating the virus. It just confirms that with more testing, we are still finding more cases. So why would anyone believe that a lower rate of infection means the virus is going away?
     
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  11. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

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  12. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    We had 640 deaths today and a 4.42% positive test rate. Both are good numbers
     
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  13. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    How do you reconcile that the state is doing well when the case count is most certainly spiking? The spikes might be isolated to some hot spots, but this is a virus and as long as there are hot spots, there will be spread. Is your state doing something in particular to isolate those hot spots?
     
  14. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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  15. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

    The light orange is stable. The dark orange is a small rise. Red are spiked areas of which there are very few. Those areas are skewing the state numbers right now.
     
  16. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

    Yes.

    Wake County alone has employed over 150 contact tracers and the plan is each positive test is backtracked within 24 hours of testing.
     
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  17. dangolegators

    dangolegators GC Hall of Fame

    Apr 26, 2007
    No, the light orange is rising.
     
  18. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Other than the spike in world cases, the numbers during the last three days have been very encouraging. Here are the three day increases.

    Date.......world cases.....world deaths.....U.S. cases.....U.S. deaths
    May3........255,940............14,061...............93,006...........4,731
    May6........258,072............16,907...............75,063...........6,212
    May9........278,941............15,389...............84,217...........5,238
    May12......239,189............12,376...............61,327...........3,388
    May15......284,608............15,658...............75,649...........5,082
    May18......266,271............11,660...............66,009...........3,474
    May21…....303,083……….....14,472………........70,608…….......4,373
    May24…....303,683…….....…12,072………........65,534…….......2,946
    May27…....291,339…….....…10,756………........59,367…….......2,807
    May30…....364,906……….....13,454………........71,017…….......3,450
    June2…...…324,528…….....…11,316………........64,385…….......2,502
    June5…...…365,955……….....15,934………........84,503…….......3,331
    June8……...349,307…….....…10,486………........60,785…….......1,665

    World and U.S. fatalities are way down. Will this still be the case after the protests?
     
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  19. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

    Where do you see that?

    No one is questioning a rise in case count anyway. I am saying that 10% positive rate is due to isolated events (mostly in nursing homes btw)
    NC DHHS COVID-19: Congregate Living Settings