Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

This administration, because of its piss-poor leadership from the top, can manage to (mess) this up.

Scoop: Trump officials' dysfunction harms delivery of coronavirus drug

 

This is an incredible article, i think it should be mandatory reading for politicians, corporate executives and frankly, everyone else.

 

It’s a purposely misleading chart, the grey area is where cases may not have been reported formally to the state yet. GA reported 49 deaths and 568 new cases so far today.
This is the actual reported cases chart with a seven day rolling average naked in county level data, it is starting to tick back up, we will see where we are in the next few weeks. Deaths have come down a bit, but those are lagging indicators if things picking back up.



Georgia Coronavirus Map and Case Count

 

what's the % positive rate? Of course there will be more cases as they start to test more

 

https://covidtracking.com/data/state/georgia#historical

Two weeks ago (4/24) they were at 635 daily new cases and 20 new deaths. Yesterday (5/7) they had 743 daily new cases and 25 new deaths. A rolling 7 day average puts them at 708 daily new cases a week ago against 755 yesterday, and 35 deaths two weeks ago with 31 yesterday. Today's numbers will be finalized in the next hour or so.

 

Any link to tests performed? I don't understand why everybody just looks at total cases, % positive should be the main thing we watch for all states. It's a given if we test more there will be more cases. If % remains the same or relatively low the spread isn't getting worse.

 

look at the chart, it was falling until last week, they didn’t all of a sudden ramp up testing to that degree, their rise has been steady. Deaths have stayed more or less constant for weeks, which is what you would expect to see against the chart I gave above. But again, in a week or 2 we will know whether more about their approach. If deaths start to follow the cases then bad, if not, then good. Just too early to declare anything either way. But even georgia has admitted this will mean more infections, it’s inevitable - just a question of how many more.

 

It varies wildly from day to day. Two weeks ago (5/24) it was 10.4%. yesterday it was 6.5%. 13 days ago (4/25) it was 4.6%, two days ago (5/6) it was 30.3%.

 

The testing data is in the link I posted. Click it.

The amount of testing has been pretty steady over the last two weeks, that shouldn't be skewing data in the question of how have things changed since they opened.

 

Final numbers for today, 709 new cases, 61 new deaths.

 

I count 667 and 41. Am I not looking at the right numbers? Either way, looking at the numbers over the last month, there does not seem to be a reduction over the last 2 weeks.

 

No?

 

Something definitely isn't adding up with that graphic in the tweet. I get an average of 691 new cases per day over the last week. The tweeted graphic shows a 7 day average of around 200-225. And it shows new cases over the last couple of days at well less than 100 per day. The tweet appears to be typical conservative misinformation.

 

Are your numbers including all new cases or just first time positive cases? There's usually a large difference in those numbers. Many of the numbers used include folks who have tested positive for the 2nd time or more.

 

For example look at FL, they have first time new cases and positive cases including folks tested positive more than once. Numbers are almost half for 1st time new cases .

 

And where are you getting 'first time positive cases'? Worldometer shows 841 new cases yesterday and 591 today for Georgia.

 

World O meter counts all positive cases from what I can gather.

 

I didn't see those for GA, I was asking if that was why you saw higher numbers than the chart showed.

 

No, the graphic for Georgia is just wrong. The one that shows deaths shows 5 or less deaths for each of the last 2 days. Worldometer shows 51 today and 21 yesterday. The graphic is wrong, probably intentionally so.

 

Ok, now I see where the graphic comes from. It's just very incomplete for recent data. Not intentionally misleading. But it is being used to intentionally mislead.