Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

yeah good question, SFO would be the next one I would think. But their population density is higher. They were among the first to lock down nationally, not sure how that compares to what Vancouver did. They are both international travel hubs, relatively similar climate etc. but no two cities will be the same unfortunately, can only do close approximations I think.

 

How is that any different than labeling a Covid death to anyone who dies WITH the Covid virus in their system? If anything, the flu numbers appear to be more accurate.

From the article. Things that make you go hmmmm.

“The CDC should immediately change how it reports flu deaths. While in the past it was justifiable to err on the side of substantially overestimating flu deaths, in order to encourage vaccination and good hygiene”

 

This is us at this point. Lets move on:

 

Took advice from RIP, ran weekly numbers for the last 3 weeks.

from april 11-april17 205218 new cases, 15410 deaths, average of 145830 daily tests.

from april 18-april 24, 210410 new cases, 14543 deaths, 210410 daily tests.

from april 25- may 1, 205798 new cases, 13562 deaths, 232261 daily tests.

so as you see, deaths are coming down, new cases remain about the same, but daily testing numbers are way up,this plus stable new cases really, imo, bodes well.


Edited to make it read a little easier: Hall

 

She said they wanted to do mild symptoms but didn’t have the capacity yet. I assume there is a need or they wouldn’t be building the capacity to do folks with mild symptoms.

This is semantics. Many government entities want to do more than they can. They need to do more to get folks back to work. We are cratering our economy and there is a dramatic need to increase testing in order to have more folks return to work. That need exists right now.

 

Economically I agree. I have said as much for weeks. Today I have just been speaking on a personal "need to know" type of scenario.

 

-------- Cases---Deaths---Tests
4/11-4/17 205218 15410 145830
4/18-4/24 210410 14543 210410
4/25-5/01 205798 13562 232261

I took the liberty of reformatting so it's a bit easier to read.

New cases - essentially flat
Deaths - down 12% across 2 weeks
Tests - up 59% across 2 weeks

I agree with the conclusions - this is generally positive news. Increased testing without increased case detection suggests we're slowing the rate of spread. Declining deaths could be a result of fewer hospitalizations, or more successful treatments being employed (learning curve).

Hopefully the trend continues!

 

thanks for simplifying it.

 

Definitely good news, but we won’t start to see any effects from the loosening of restrictions for a week or more probably. I would expect a slow downward trend over the next week, but then who knows.

 

the Shadow?

 

They never stopped isolating, but he came down with so many symptoms he finally went to the hospital. He ended up being negative, but just going to the hospital, any hospital, gives you dozens of opportunities to get sick... you might go in with nothing and come back out infected with something, either what you feared or something else.

 

i dont need no stinkin commas.....

 

I had a good laugh when CNN posted an article of a dire prediction from the ex-CDC chief who said by the end of the month the US will have 100,000 deaths. No shit Sherlock. That's not a prediction but CNN's readers can't add due to the new math the liberals instituted a couple of decades ago. IF and I say IF daily deaths drop to 1K per day over the next 25 days (the number of days left in the month of May), that's 25,000 deaths added to the 74,000 we already have. How is that a prediction? I'll give a better prediction - there will be 112,000 deaths by June 1st. How about this one? By mid June, 150,000 total deaths and by August 1st, 215,000.

 

Andrew Cuomo: Healthcare workers who volunteered to help New York with pandemic must pay state income taxes

This is wrong. Mr. Cuomo should be saying thank you, not trying to extract money from them.

 

I thought it was 15 to 0?

 

Same/less cases with more testing suggests that we're expanding our testing criteria and likely catching milder cases. A higher proportion of milder cases should also result in a lower mortality rate, which we're seeing as well (similar # cases, less deaths).

Yeah that seems wrong, NYC has a city tax too. With that said, paying taxes isn't too big of a deal, I guess it's like doing per diem work across state lines. The paperwork is more of a PITA because you'd have to file both state and city tax returns.

 

And you wonder why we drink.

 

agree. the current definition of "need" is not suffuicient. Asymptomatic people will need to be tested, the current plan doesn't address that fact.