Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

From an ethics perspective, that is actually good to hear. I think we can all agree that "less than ideal studies" may have to suffice for the next several months. And yes, along the way, some percentage of those treated/saved will have negative reactions to the drugs....law of averages says so.

 

So, do we not bother testing on Fridays??

 

mixed results today, according to worldometer only 1900 deaths, but 36000 new cases, but, according to the covid19 tracking project 320000 tests today, most ever so higher new cases is expected. today positive tests were about 11%, overall running about 17%, any site out there that does this on a daily basis, and besides the obvious of 0, what is a good daily and overall positive test result percentage?

 

Anything that lowers the average would probably be good. Though with the overall "infected" number still being quite high and obviously in no way precise or all-inclusive, I think most people key on deaths more than anything. Like you suggest, sometimes the number of "new cases" can be a function of the number of tests. So it isn't necessarily useful information, other than confirming the virus is still circulating.

 

don't like seeing that number climb. hope it's just a blip

 

Wasn't it doubling every handful of days before? We went from exponential growth, to flat for a week. That is something. Though obviously crazy premature for people that think we should be full-go again.

 

i think deaths will start to stabilize, especially in ny/nj down to about 550-600 a day between the two, plus, hopefully more tests will garner more positive tests, coupled with death stabilization will lower the death rate %

 

NY/NJ are down but we are still hitting the 2000 deaths a day avg(over a weeks time) that means deaths are picking up elsewhere in the states.

 

ny/nj had 600 or so today, only massachuesetts, illiinois,, and pennsylvania had more than 100, michigan only 77

 

moronic county commision here in alachua county has decided that anyone going into a essential business must have a face covering. if it is that damn important, why wait until now to require it, i swear they think we are mindless children.guess the liberals here do not like the govenors re-opening policy, so going to make it a pain in the ass.

 

of course they said it is ok to go without a mask in a restaraunt, how in gods name is that any differant than going in publix?hope they all get voted out of office.

 

Good news bad news out of today.
Deaths in NY/Nj continue to decline which was the heat of the outbreak over the last few weeks.
Massachusetts and Connecticut are likely right around their peak.

but Texas, Georgia, Illinois, Maryland, Virginia and Tennessee all appear to still not have peaked, while PA had a really bad week. North of 80 million in those states, so that’s what to watch over the next week.

 

Does the "regular" flu ever have asymptomatic tendencies or if you catch the flu you know you have the flu?

 

I mentioned Moderna's promising synthetic process around a month ago. They signed an agreement in February with the federal government to start working on this. I think that was when the federal government had their heads in the sand about COVID-19

 

It's very important, and also very cheap. I cannot think of a single more cost-effective measure to reduce transmission than wearing a mask, and it still amazes me how it's not highly recommended if not mandatory here or anywhere where Covid is prevalent.

 

Tennessee? What about Kentucky? They continue to have more daily deaths than Tennessee. Their death rate per million population is 56 while Tennessee is 31 but I know some on her were applauding their measures while slamming Tennessee. Texas's numbers had been really low up to this point but seem to have a slight rise.
I do not pay to much attention to number of new cases since you do not know if testing procedures have changed etc but deaths are a tale tale sign as well as hospitalizations.

 

I agree that deaths are the better ultimate indicator, but cases are often the leading indicator. That’s why I said those are the states to watch over the next week, we will see if they translate to fatalities or not.
I am in VA, our cases have doubled in the last week or so, deaths haven’t matched that pace yet. But we will see.

 

Don't know, but the upper bound of the CDC's confidence interval estimates for the flu are for symptomatic illness

 

Pretty clear China completely covered this up until late January, and kept denying afterwards.

Leaked Western intel dossier reveals how China deceived the world about coronavirus

And Trump was right about WHO... they still have on their Twitter a Jan. 14th post that the virus cannot be transmitted from human to human. Which was China's position even longer.

 

like I said, if it is that important, why wait until now to impose it, just a bunch of holier than thou people who think they are smarter than everyone else, including the state government, want to tell us what to do to make themselves feel important.