Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

I get vitamin D by going outside.

 

Okay, I went back and looked. Will fix.

RE: Covid-19
I should have put Feb 19-Apr 24 since that was what I based the 66 days off of. I meant to footnote Jan 15 since there were cases in January, however the trend in confirmed cases started to increase around Feb 19. I'm going to update this as some point, but with world-o-meter, I have to actually input each number by hand (as opposed to trackcovid which I can copy and paste into the spreadsheet).

RE: H1N1
I based the numbers on approx first 6 mos., using the CDC's report from Nov. 2009. When I originally created the table, it was meant to compare the initial outbreak (for the flu, the season) as opposed to the entire year (or grand totals for H1N1).

 

What is the best site with up to date and accurate numbers? I've been watching ncov2019.live. If today's numbers are accurate on that site we had a pretty significant increase in reported cases and deaths.

I can't believe they are trying to open stuff back up. This thing is far from over and the worst might not even be over if we don't play our cards right.

 

Thanks. I thought it has been steadily rising. No bueno

 

I follow world-o-meter, trackcovid, and the cdc. There are others such as Johns Hopkins and as you mentioned ncov.

They're all somewhat similar with the numbers, but it depends on how often they update.

 

32,064 new cases so far today. How are we still having such prolific spread with the social distancing? I'll tell you. Because way more than 970,000 people have it, don't know it and are spreading it with family, at grocery stores and picking up food. It's like plugging the holes in the Titanic with duct tape. Just open it up already. I drove around some today, it is so weird out there. 90% of businesses closed. I'm paying the gal at the drive thru under a glass window and she has a mask on. No words spoken. A few weeks of this was understandable. If for nothing else, to give us time to figure out what we're up against. Governor Kemp is doing the right thing in Jawga. Nobody is putting a gun to anyone's head to make them venture out!!

 

Antibody tests are far from perfect. Many have more than 5% false positives, only 80% detection of antibodies until 3 weeks after infection. Many tests require a "reader" to assess if the lines are dark enough to warrant a positive result so most tests are somewhat subjective

Coronavirus Antibody Tests: Can You Trust the Results?

 

It's just those deplorable Trump supporters...

'I want my life back': Germans protest against lockdown

 

Sorry buddy, but this really feels like now we're doubting science, because it doesn't hold up a narrative.

 

Which there is no doubt why we haven't seen many PH experts so easily accepting the extrapolated numbers. If there was much more confidence that false pos/neg were much lower, than we'd see a different reaction.

 

Only 764 in FL yesterday another pretty good day under 800, tested over 15,579.

 

reported cases are up because 300000 were tested today, 2nd most ever

were are you looking, worldometer says only 306.

 

Sorry I meant yesterday, I will correct.

 

This is the best video...

 

The irony is that H1N1 peaked right after that date (I think you went up to Oct 9). See slide six in this CDC presentation. I'm not trying to nit-pick and it's really of little consequence, but I've seen the first xxx days of H1N1 compared with Covid & others. The bulk of H1N1 fatalities was really limited to about a two month period, which began about six months after the first cases were discovered in the U.S.

 

Just shooting from the hip, but I'd presume Johns Hopkins to be on of the most reliable.
COVID-19 Map

There are questions about the accuracy of its data, but the NYT offers some good graphs, which show how the curve is progressing. Spoiler alert: After what appeared to be a nice flattening and downward curve, the number of new cases in the U.S. has risen three straight days and has leapt up to peak status the last two.
Coronavirus in the U.S.: Latest Map and Case Count

 

Opinion | We Need Herd Immunity From Trump and the Coronavirus

A few people here have been arguing this for a while.

 

Happy for the Sunshine State, but I do think warmer, more humid weather is helping the cause there.

 

So since the disease is more prolific than we know, we should just give in and rip off the bandaid? How does your anecdote support your case? The gal at the drivethru sure as hell should be wearing a mask. She's not only smart; she's facing more risk than the vast majority of us. I hope you are right about Georgia. My mother and sister live there. It will be interesting to see how things progress under Governor Kemp's lift.

 

The only other answer that might work is a much stricter lockdown for another 30 days or so nationwide. Do you really see that going over well? Especially, as most governors have been talking about opening some things up soon?