Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

It fits here. But I am sure glad I am not the one that has to chose what "statistic" is acceptable to restart the economy. I'll keep my day job and leave that terrible chore to someone else.

 

Excellent point. That is an often unintentionally ignored point in this. A large number have underlying conditions or simply age considerations that lead us to the fact that we would have lost them regardless. Not sure how you figure that in the middle of the pandemic, but surely someone can come up with a way.

This would be a very needed metric in weighing the cost.

 

...wait, couldn't we just get that info.....from you?!

 

Agreed - let's be kind and peaceful. This is, after all, our beloved Too Hot site that we share and cherish.

 

Clearly will be more deaths than 50,000 in 4 or so weeks. With social distancing, particularly in cities. And the numbers do not take into account the effect of overrun hospitals etc.

And the percentages are questionable.

 

Two weeks ago it was only 390 deaths. Where would it be without closing things down?

 

It's all questionable at this point. It's really surreal to think that just 7 weeks ago, I was arguing that we were a lock for the tournament, was excited about a Lightning playoff run and stoked that Spring Training was underway, I was moving into a remodeled office at work and had plans to celebrate by birthday at our favorite spot.

Now there is no sports, my office has boxes still unpacked and my favorite spot is locked tight.

What the holy crap has happened?!

But man, our remodel work on our house has gotten WAY ahead of schedule...lol

 

1 in 5 in NYC, that is not a national number

 

Hey Mutz - couple of quick pts. Jan - April would be three months, more than 66 days. The H1N1 spike must have occurred beyond the date range you list, as most estimates show 12,500 U.S. deaths. I had this discussion with @philnotfil, who compared the first 100 days of C19 and H1N1. The H1N1 spike did not occur until late fall. It was still not nearly as deadly as what we are seeing now.
How does the COVID-19 pandemic compare to the last pandemic? | Live Science

 

Death panels to establish acceptable mortality rates?? ....runs and hides....

 

no, the second week with the over reporting would also be flawed, thus 2 straight flawed weeks

 

Oh, I'm definitely guilty of being snarky and sarcastic. It's a specialty of mine.
I tend to project my snark specifically, though.

 

Can you please graph the death rate per reported cases over the last 6 - 8 weeks ?

 

Ok - I apologize if I took your use of the term "experts" out of context. I thought you were unfairly criticizing a host of people w/o specifically citing who or what you were criticizing. Again - apologies. The meme had to do with "wrecks" which you did analogize to C19. I don't tend to try and be offensive. Snarky? Sure. Annoying? Can't help it.

 

I think we all need to sit NY over in a corner in a lot of ways. They are inflating some of the data as the NY/NJ metro is almost half of the numbers.
At the same time, that means the antibody results are also likely on the high end compared to a city like mine.

Has anyone done a comprehensive study of metrics excluding NYC metro?

If NYC epicenter did not exist in the equation or was it's own nation, would we be looking at this different as a Nation?

 

i did not say if you bothered to read the post that the last day of every week,, and the first day of the next week would be under and over reported, just 2 weeks, pointing out that weekly stats are also prone to being misleading.

 

It's all good man. But when did I equate Covid to wrecks?