Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!

Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by GatorNorth, Feb 25, 2020.

  1. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

    17,729
    1,789
    1,718
    Apr 8, 2007
    COVID Data Tracker

    You have to play with some of the settings to get a specific state or age group.

    Here is Florida hospitalization rates for 0-17 years (on the left, on the right it shows all age groups):

    [​IMG]
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  2. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

    22,497
    1,351
    2,008
    Apr 3, 2007
    Yeah, we just don't have enough data to make too thorough of an analysis. For instance:

    Deaths were higher then than now = "see vaccinations are working"
    Deaths are higher now than then = "see this new variant is a greater threat"

    vs.

    Deaths were higher then than now = "see this new variant isn't even as big of a threat"
    Deaths are higher now than then = "see the vaccinations aren't having much of an impact"

    My point here is just that we need to be careful of making too much of the data given how limited the data collectors have been with providing information. 95 asked about death counts, and I should have just left it at that.

    Go GATORS!
    ,WESGATORS
     
    • Like Like x 2
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  3. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

    22,497
    1,351
    2,008
    Apr 3, 2007

    Thanks, had forgotten about this. It's maddening how inconsistent the data points have been. This graph shows 0-17; the state tracked using 14 as an upper limit through the Spring of this year. Over the summer they use 15 as an upper limit. It's worth nothing that the peak in the Spring (~0.6 on that graph) wasn't remotely a concern on the pediatric side of things (certainly not locally). It's hard to consider that an increase of less than 1 per 100,000 changes that much, but of course, it would be nice to get ICU data and other relevant severity data as well.

    Go GATORS!
    ,WESGATORS
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  4. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

    15,869
    2,052
    1,718
    Dec 9, 2010
    So you are appealing to authority with the head of the agency that you have trashed consistently on this thread? As others have pointed out, you are obviously and, at this point, intentionally, misrepresenting her quote, but it is worth pointing out the ridiculousness of the guy who has trashed the CDC consistently on this thread whenever they say something he doesn't like trying to appeal to their authority now.
     
    • Winner Winner x 4
  5. coleg

    coleg GC Hall of Fame

    1,808
    772
    1,903
    Sep 5, 2011
    Thus you've found why that poster is the only one I have ever put on ignore on any site. I highly recommend it as I found logic, facts and truth are completely meaningless to that one.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
  6. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

    17,729
    1,789
    1,718
    Apr 8, 2007
    Almost like winning is more important than learning truth for that poster.
     
  7. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

    7,670
    848
    2,013
    Apr 3, 2007
    I have trashed the CDC on policy and some of their use of "studies" to make policy. Why would the head of the cdc make up numbers about pediatric covid hospitalizations and then blame RSV? It's ok to be wrong. I was wrong on car deaths during covid and most likely wrong on suicides(most likely, will know in about 6-9 months). But compared to you, who was wrong on lockdowns, school closures and masks, i'll gladly take anyone's opinion on covid over yours. You hit the trifecta their pal. Good job with that one. Real hot streak.
     
    • Funny Funny x 2
    • Like Like x 1
  8. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

    7,670
    848
    2,013
    Apr 3, 2007
    Almost like you are trolling when you won't admit you are wrong. Sorry you didn't like what the AAP and the CDC said about pediatric hospitalizations.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
  9. NavyGator93

    NavyGator93 GC Hall of Fame

    1,960
    756
    2,663
    Dec 4, 2015
    Georgia
    As I said before, just treat him like a someone else’s bratty kid seeking attention. Ignore.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  10. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

    15,869
    2,052
    1,718
    Dec 9, 2010
    But the CDC director says I was right about masks, and since you are currently appealing to her authority, I must have been right, correct? Or are you appealing to the authority of somebody you have trashed consistently in the ultimate sign that Phil is right and none of this is really about trying to be right but about your own needs to "win?"
     
  11. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

    22,497
    1,351
    2,008
    Apr 3, 2007
    Also, in looking at the image on the right, it looks like the beginning of a promising decline for all age groups.

    Go GATORS!
    ,WESGATORS
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  12. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

    7,670
    848
    2,013
    Apr 3, 2007
    Wow, I guess if someone is wrong about a few things then they are wrong about everything. Good way to go thru life. So then by that measure you aren't to be believed on anything since you were a joke for being on the side of lockdowns, school closures and masks. Good job. Point noted, I won't take anything you say ever again as right, since that's what you are arguing for. What a joke. You really got me there.
     
    • Funny Funny x 2
    • Winner Winner x 1
  13. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

    15,869
    2,052
    1,718
    Dec 9, 2010
    Haha, so basically, she is right if (when you think) she supports your position but wrong when she doesn't. In this instance, right appears to be a synonym for "agrees with you." Indeed, what a joke.
     
    • Winner Winner x 2
    • Agree Agree x 1
  14. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

    7,670
    848
    2,013
    Apr 3, 2007
    See, I'm not so set in my beliefs that if a person says something that's wrong that they are to never be believed again. Would suck if people treated you that way, because no one would believe a word coming out of your mouth after the past 18 months of being constantly wrong.
     
    • Funny Funny x 3
    • Agree Agree x 1
  15. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

    7,670
    848
    2,013
    Apr 3, 2007
    Agree with a lot of what Silver says here.

    upload_2021-8-31_11-46-36.png

    upload_2021-8-31_11-47-5.png

    upload_2021-8-31_11-48-48.png
     
    • Like Like x 3
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Funny Funny x 1
  16. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

    7,670
    848
    2,013
    Apr 3, 2007
  17. homer

    homer GC Hall of Fame

    2,665
    831
    2,078
    Nov 2, 2015
    Progressives rejoice.
     
    • Funny Funny x 2
  18. tampagtr

    tampagtr VIP Member

    17,561
    2,791
    1,618
    Apr 3, 2007
    Wow

     
    • Informative Informative x 2
  19. tampagtr

    tampagtr VIP Member

    17,561
    2,791
    1,618
    Apr 3, 2007
    And this makes a lot of sense to me - social death is the biggest risk

     
    • Winner Winner x 1
    • Informative Informative x 1
  20. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

    14,111
    5,238
    3,208
    Nov 25, 2017
    Florida is delaying the release of death data too