Big Short Bets

With interest rates still pretty high, there isn’t much penalty for “sitting in cash”. People should only have exposure they are comfortable with.

Actually going short is a different beast, just as with any leveraged bet you have to be right AND with timing or else there can be extreme losses.

 

If there’s one thing financial markets love, it’s the phrase “Political Instability”.

 

Thank you for the blessings

 

10x more is a big swing against. I wonder if they closed them after the drop after DeepSeek or are they still in play.

 

If they opened them right before Deepseek and quickly closed out, that would suggest insider trading… insider trading based on a Chinese leak.

Not that there aren’t plenty of reasons to watch domestic issues w/…. concern.

 

Cash rates are in the mid 4’s and with inflation at 2.5-3% you aren’t really making progress. Safety comes with sacrifice.

I agree however that everyone’s situation is different. Tactically shifting allocations is a far more successful strategy than going in and out of the market wholesale.

 

It was 100% market manipulation. It became widespread news right when NVDA went into its quiet period. NVDA is trading at like 27x next years earnings. They announce on 2/26 and expect this stock to be back in the 145-150 range by March.