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AR's Season Completion Percentage Accuracy

Discussion in 'RayGator's Swamp Gas' started by doctorg8r, Dec 10, 2022.

  1. Emmitto

    Emmitto VIP Member

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    This is the alpha and omega of AR.

    If he can get to 60+, he's NFL gold.

    I am rooting.

    I doubt.
     
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  2. volungator

    volungator All American

    For every drop another pass is caught. It's all part of the concept called averages
     
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  3. kryptonite

    kryptonite GC Hall of Fame

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    Not enough to raise 33% to 70%.
     
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  4. volungator

    volungator All American

    The law of averages isn't limited to a single game.
     
  5. doctorg8r

    doctorg8r GC Hall of Fame

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    I'm glad for us that he's going to the NFL.
     
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  6. doctorg8r

    doctorg8r GC Hall of Fame

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    Yes, the percentages were not going to be affected that much by dropped passes being caught by receiver's. And, remember, some passes were such flame throwers, nobody was catching it. The percentages point to an enormous problem--inconsistency--and inconsistency naturally contributed to lack of execution.
     
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  7. bobcatgator

    bobcatgator Sophomore

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    I’m still not buying it and any high quality scout in the NFL knows better. His talent is undeniable but to say he is raw is vast understatement. A team will need to show patience which is not common these days in the NFL. I really do hope he can piece it all together and will root like crazy for him but his profile screams bust if taken in round one.
     
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  8. Matthanuf06

    Matthanuf06 GC Hall of Fame

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    CBN doesn’t run a high percentage passing offense.

    ARs inconsistency + weak receivers pushed it down into bad territory… but the ceiling for this offense isn’t a “great” completion percentage
     
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  9. Gatorborn

    Gatorborn GC Legend

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    Add to that an offensive line that was decent at run blocking, weak at pass protection. Just about any other qb probably would have had a record number of sacks.
     
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  10. gator34654

    gator34654 GC Hall of Fame

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    O
    Exactly what talent do you speak of? This is not meant to be mean not at all, other than gifted physically, what talent do you speak of? Reading defense? completions? Leadership? Running?. He does have arm strength but that alone is meaningless without the ability to read defense, throw touch passes and complete a higher percentage of passes.
     
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  11. kryptonite

    kryptonite GC Hall of Fame

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    He has been a starter or primary backup in 5 of 6 years of playing QB. He has had a personal QB coach for at least 5 years.

    He is who he is. It's on him. No one else.
     
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  12. thom1507

    thom1507 All American

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    I am sure AR's 65% on-target percentage had nothing to do with it. It doesn't leave much room to complete higher percentages when your qb can't even deliver the ball where it can be caught by your receiver 35% of the time. That's extraordinarily low on target %.

    These data points do not support your hypothesis the offense cannot have high completion %. I am not sure what you are basing it on except as a last ditch hope to explain ARs inaccuracy, which is well accepted at this point.

    2009-2010 CLEMSON
    Comp: 0.671

    2017: ASU
    Comp: 0.635
    Pass eff: 142.91
    2018: UL
    Comp: 0.632
    Pass eff: 150.24
    2019: UL
    Comp: 0.649
    Pass eff: 151.93
    2020: UL
    Comp: 0.581
    Pass Eff: 137.0
    2021: UL
    Comp: 0.601
    Pass Eff: 136.67
    2022: UF
    Comp: 0.541
    Pass Eff: 132.77
     
  13. thom1507

    thom1507 All American

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    What? I think I saw more clean pockets this year than the last 2 combined. You aren't going to get all day in the SEC. I think line play was a major improvement in all phases. Granted, they didn't come to play vs Vandy and lost one-on-ones way too much in that one.

    There were also times AR would bolt from the pocket for no reason, which will happen with any inexperienced qb.
     
  14. northgagator

    northgagator GC Hall of Fame

    More of a future in being a running back and a receiver. Will be a great game changer and play maker if he goes to those positions.
     
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  15. Claygator

    Claygator GC Hall of Fame

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    Bull hockey. Napier's offense didn't cause AR to be unable to read the field, to throw to the wrong receiver, to miss wide open receivers, and to throw the balls into the stands.

    I was super excited about the guy coming into this season, but then I saw what I saw. As I posted earlier, if he succeeds, good for him, and good for us. But I do not see it.
     
  16. Gatorborn

    Gatorborn GC Legend

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    You thougt you saw clean pockets because AR was always able to shake the first guy in
     
  17. nawlinsgator

    nawlinsgator GC Hall of Fame

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    Offensive line played well this year. Pass protection too. Let’s not make up stuff
     
  18. Wanne15

    Wanne15 GC Hall of Fame

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    You’ll never convince me that AR didn’t look like a bad hs qb at times. That fsu game, how many did he miss in a row. It seemed like he didn’t have a completion for about half a game at one point. Receivers aren’t the reason either. Watch the game and tell me he wasn’t completely struggling .
     
    Last edited: Dec 11, 2022
  19. Gatorborn

    Gatorborn GC Legend

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    We'll just agree to disagree. I hope to see if the completion percentage goes up with NFL level receivers and linemen.
     
  20. Wanne15

    Wanne15 GC Hall of Fame

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    We all want him to be super bowl mvp. My checkbook says not a chance.