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An Early Opening Line -- scUM vs Florida

Discussion in 'RayGator's Swamp Gas' started by ThePlayer, May 29, 2024.

  1. ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

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    Miami (-3.5) vs. Florida
    Aug. 31, 3:30 p.m. ET, Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville

    The Hurricanes opened as 3.5-point favorites over the Gators. The Gators have never been that large of a home underdog in the Swamp in a season opener in the FBS era (1978), according to ESPN Stats & Information. Miami leads the all time head to head series with 29 wins to Florida's 27. The Gators are 2-5 against the Hurricanes since the turn of the century.
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2024
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  2. garettk

    garettk GC Hall of Fame

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    I expect it to tighten.
     
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  3. ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

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    Billy has a good record as a home dog, but it's interesting this line went from +2 to +3.5 so fast.
    Hope we can stop a talented running QB like Cam Ward in short yardage situations.
    We'll see something similar playing both UCF and Tennessee.
     
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  4. DieAGator

    DieAGator GC Hall of Fame

    Apr 3, 2007
    Thought the home team usually gets a TD in their favor. If so, would that mean they are currently giving scUM 10.5? Hoping their new QB isn't ready for this game.
     
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  5. Skink

    Skink GC Hall of Fame

    I believe home field is worth 3 in the betting line
     
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  6. hoyt233

    hoyt233 GC Hall of Fame

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    Prattvile, AL-Go Lions!
    855-2CALLGA.
     
  7. archigator_96

    archigator_96 GC Hall of Fame

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    That record against the himmicanes and our recent losing seasons is why the line is where it is. It's probably about where Vegas would put the line logically. On paper and throwing out our recent history, we should be about a TD favorite as they have as many question marks on their team as we do (maybe more). I would take Mertz as a known commodity over a splash transfer like Cam ward but that's just me.
     
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  8. G8RKrackin23

    G8RKrackin23 VIP Member

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    Miami comes out the gates hot every year then fall off second half of season
     
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  9. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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    I also think Coach Napier has established a pretty good record against the spread in The Swamp.
     
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  10. eightiesgator

    eightiesgator GC Legend

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    That's because they usually front load their cupcakes.
     
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  11. G8R92

    G8R92 GC Hall of Fame

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    What’s his record ATS at home?
     
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  12. uftaipan

    uftaipan GC Hall of Fame

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    Straight-up disrespect. I hope we use it.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 29, 2024
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  13. Endless Excuses

    Endless Excuses GC Hall of Fame

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    SMH...an underdog to UM at home... for all my Gator blood a 35 point win for us wont be enough.
     
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  14. fox

    fox GC Hall of Fame

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    We're in dire need of a confidence building win streak. 41-17 in the first game would be a fine start.
     
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  15. GatorRade

    GatorRade Rad Scientist

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    I would not be surprised. Also this far out, the line, if it’s even real, is more like a futures bet. The line that we see a week before the game is often rather different than these future casts.
     
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  16. DieAGator

    DieAGator GC Hall of Fame

    Apr 3, 2007
    We WILL score more than 17pts.


    J/K
     
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  17. sierragator

    sierragator GC Hall of Fame

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    A home dog to scUM. Prove them wrong Gators!
     
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  18. ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

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    That score would actually require Napier to pass more than run.
    Pretty sure that's not part of his DNA.
     
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  19. ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

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    Not good but I'm going thru the numbers now.
    Billy's 9-4 at home over 2 years but clearly didn't cover the spread against teams like Kentucky, USF, LSU, Charlotte, Arkansas.
     
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  20. wingtee

    wingtee GC Hall of Fame

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    Ward is really good. He will be ready
     
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