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2024 NCAA Men's basketball tournament

Discussion in 'Nuttin but Net' started by gogators73, Jan 23, 2024.

  1. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    That's a very limited subsection of Gator hoops history you are longing for.
     
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  2. Gatorhead

    Gatorhead GC Hall of Fame

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    I LIKE your math! LOL (or projection)
    However I do agree this may be a bit on the "optimistic" side of things.

    I know one thing, the NCAA tourney, without the Gators is a real bummer. My interest level drops about 33%
    and I love the tourney.
     
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  3. jeffphillips21

    jeffphillips21 GC Hall of Fame

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    my interest level drops 99% when we're not in it
     
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  4. GatorLurker

    GatorLurker GC Hall of Fame

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    I think we are slightly better than 50-50 to go 10-8 versus 9-9.

    In the predict the Gator SEC schedule contest I had UF at 11-7 but when predicting the overall record I submitted 10-8 because I thought there were a few games where we were slightly favored and expected to lose one of them but I didn't know which one.
     
  5. Gatorhead

    Gatorhead GC Hall of Fame

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    I had UF at 11-7 in the SEC before the start of the conference schedule.
     
  6. jeffphillips21

    jeffphillips21 GC Hall of Fame

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    If we go above 8-8 it will be a miracle. A very welcome miracle but a miracle nonetheless, even if that's the projection...I would love to see it happen but not holding my breath
     
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  7. 407king

    407king VIP Member

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    That's only 16 games, we play 18 SEC games. We're at 3-3, I wouldn't consider going 6-6 a miracle when we play Vandy 2x, UGA 2x, LSU, Missouri and still host both Bama schools.
     
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  8. jeffphillips21

    jeffphillips21 GC Hall of Fame

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    sorry 9-9. I'm thinking old SEC schedule.

    That doesn't sound too bad, except at Vandy is always tough and at UGA might be tougher than we think
     
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  9. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Hang in there Jphill. There's room for hope. Here's the Gators probability of winning the remaining games per ESPN's matchup predictor:

    GA.............79.6
    at UK.........29.1
    at A&M.......30.5
    Aub............41.1
    LSU............82.6
    at GA..........53.6
    at AL...........15.1
    Vandy..........95.3
    Mizzou.........88.5
    at SC...........51.4
    AL...............41.0
    at Vandy.......84.4

    Obviously an inexact indicator, but if those probabilities were to hold true, we'd be hovering just above .500 in conference. We could get a less expected win or two and go better than 10-8. We could also drop a game or two we're not supposed to and as fans become all . . .
    [​IMG]
     
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  10. jeffphillips21

    jeffphillips21 GC Hall of Fame

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    that looks exactly like me after a loss
    I do like those odds...yes could drop one or two we should win, but know knows...maybe we win one or two we shouldn't. I just like to taper my expectations, so i look a little less like that dog at season's end
     
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  11. missourigator

    missourigator GC Hall of Fame

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    Right now we are on schedule to go 9-9. I thought 8-10 so we are trending in the right direction.
     
  12. fox

    fox GC Hall of Fame

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    I am always incorrect.

    Incorrect means horny, right?
     
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  13. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    It's a goat ;). But yeah, I hear ya on tapering expectations. That's been the way in recent years.
     
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  14. GatorPlanet

    GatorPlanet GC Hall of Fame

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    Yep. One of the fainting goats. A very apt metaphor for Gator basketball fans.
     
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  15. jeffphillips21

    jeffphillips21 GC Hall of Fame

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    It's Friday. my focus is a bit off. Could be the wine :)
     
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  16. number1

    number1 GC Hall of Fame

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    upload_2024-1-27_13-49-3.png
    5 home games and 6 road games left.

    5-0 at home and 3-3 on the road is very doable if we can play at least mediocre on defense and get solid offensive performances.
     
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  17. jeffphillips21

    jeffphillips21 GC Hall of Fame

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    i do like your optimism
    I don't know if i share it, especially after this game, but i do like it
     
  18. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

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    Not sure we beat Bama and Auburn at home. I'd like to see us get one of the next three and go 6-5 down the stretch, getting us to 20 wins and above .500 in conf.
     
  19. RD_gator

    RD_gator GC Hall of Fame

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    Six Quad-1 games total left for UF,
    four are on the road (Gators need to steal one or two here).
    and two Quad-1 games are at home: Auburn & Alabama.

    Winning Quad1 games moves the needle for UF's ranking.
    If Florida can go 3-3/2-4 in those games, that would be very helpful to their NCAA placement!

    The most likely to least likely Q1-win probability:
    at Texas AM (#39)
    at S. Carolina (#51)
    Auburn (H), #8
    Alabama (H), #7
    at Kentucky (#22)
    at Alabama (#7)
     
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  20. akaGatorhoops

    akaGatorhoops GC Columnist VIP Member

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    We got get one of the next three. We held serve at home… Barely… But we did it.
     
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