2024 NCAA Men's basketball tournament

Mississippi State (net 37) has an excellent chance of moving to a Q1 win if they finish at least 3-3.

 

I guess where I have an issue is it's almost as if we are somewhat punished for playing more Q1 games . I don't so much think Auburn or Alabama aren't deserving I just have a hard time understanding why we are looked at as an 8-9 seed line and they're both on the 4-5 lines. Seems like bama has had the SOS to warrant it; but they have lost most of those tough games, except Auburn and usce. There's still time, but whats it going to take for UF to get some respect. Is it possible we end up with a better Q1 record than both these teams and still not close the gap?

 

Simulations from barttorvik.com

 

Like the look of this. It’s that crazy time of the year in MCBB. The last 5-6 games and conference tournaments make it a wild ride. There’s too many metrics & computer rankings for me to keep up with.

“THANKS TO ALL OF YOU WHO TRACK COMPUTER RANKINGS & METRICS. “ I really appreciate you bringing the information & knowledge here.

 

It's a combination of things. Low preseason ranking and projections. Early inconsistencies. Quad one record. Disregard for a young 2nd year coach in a tough league. Heralded NBA prospect underperforming.

 

Agreed. I don’t want to sound arrogant ahead of the Bama game, because there’s a chance that they humble us badly, but looking at their schedule and results, I’m scratching my head a little at why they are rated so much higher than UF. Well… they just might show it when we play them.

 

Auburn has 7 Q2 wins, we have 3. That's the big difference and it should have them a few seeds higher right now.

 

Bartovic.com simulations:

• Win out or lose only Bama road game - #4 seed
• Beat Bama on the road & lose at home, lose USC road game, win remainder - #5 seed
• Lose Bama/USC road games, win remainder - #6 seed
• Lose both Bama games, win remainder - #7 seed
• Lose both Bama games & lose USC road game, win remainder - #7 seed

 

I can confirm the committee does look ar Torvik this year.

 

6 - that’s more like it

 

like the 5 seed better, can live with 7 seed

 

Tournament seedings/results for teams with similar resumes.

 

ESPN has Tennessee, Alabama, South Carolina, Auburn, and Kentucky as tournament locks and UF as “should be in”. lol.

If Auburn and Kentucky are locks, Florida should be a lock.

 

Simulation at Bartovic shows they can lose the next 3 & then win out for a #50 Net. Win their home games & lose away games to Wake/Clemson for #43.