I don’t think I’ve ever done a good job communicating my perspective on this. Part of it, I think, comes down to relative vs absolute standards....
I know you disagree with me, as we’ve debated this issue in the past, but I have turned away from strategic voting to achieve particular outcomes....
I’m with you that a blowout loss or close loss are the bounds of likely outcomes, but I would feel like the latter is a bit more likely, so this...
I’m no bettor. I am always happy to wager a beer, but I especially have no interest in taking sfla’s money (or having him take mine), so I’m not...
I appreciate your commitment to integrity, Q. I would also say that vote by mail reduces transaction costs, and I think you are underestimating...
Indeed, fl, we must admit that many media outlets exhibit a bias, and we cannot allow only a single vein of bias. Since twitter includes all kinds...
Amazingly, if I were Georgia, the first thing I’d try to take away from Florida is the deep ball. Probably I would try to do this mostly with...
This is an interesting question. I would extend the inquiry by asking what is the difference between a Twitter post and a GC post? If news story =...
This, to my lights, is a legitimate debate. However, neither of the extremes (all twitter vs no twitter threads allowed) seems to carry...
You or AzCat might be able to confirm for me, but I recall learning at some point that most “illegals” in this country are those that came here...
Odds that he starts blathering on about the Salem witch trials during the event?
What a gut punch.
I would reword this to read “The only reason I can imagine not to require an ID is for voter fraud.” It is the same with some liberals believing...
Hey thanks Bluke! There have been some tough times, but we got really bailed out by our neighbors who didn’t flood and are letting us stay at...
If Trump wins, I don’t plan on offering any excuses, but such a baffling outcome would beg for an explanation. Like what the heck is our problem?
I’ll be interested to see how the actual EC bias shakes out, given these small hints that the Republican advantage might be waning. As for...
Oh sure. I think it would be pretty surprising if Harris won the popular vote by 1.5% and won the election. Of course, this result will happen one...
Im also not sure that the Republican EC advantage will disappear this year, but I know that it will disappear some year. And to my lights, that...
You are right that in a close election noise can easily swamp the pertinent signal (who will win), but that we can even identify this as a close...
Thanks surfn. You may be right, but I don’t think you or I could know this without seeing the entire analysis that led to the rankings. Eg it’s...
