This is a philosophy that I cannot understand, 92. Fundamentally, you are arguing that you have no agency in your own decisions. The other side...
I personally think it’s a toss up also. The question is, what do we do when many others see it differently? I think it’s natural to assume the...
Ah well, I got nothing then. :oops:
Just to square this circle, it’s pretty clear that the mods moved @gatordavisl’s post to this thread after he posted it.
Yes this is what I think is happening. Bettors are responding to new information, rather than finally getting around to responding to something...
Idiot or manipulator are the only two options only if we preclude any chance that Trump could win the election. Of course we can’t do this, as the...
This is possible, cypress, but before accepting the manipulation hypothesis, I’d like to see two criteria satisfied: I’d like to see some...
Dang, this one is tough to predict. Oddly, Trump is still a slight favorite on metaculus, which trades on reputation rather than money. Who will...
Indeed @exiledgator did a nice job here. Thomas Jefferson didn’t do too bad either: A difference in politics should never be permitted to enter...
Polymarket odds have made a rapid swing toward Harris in the last day. Trump’s lead is now down to 58-42%. This is in response to recent polls,...
Oh I don’t mean to denigrate Harris at all. My preference for Oliver is largely philosophical. Eg a ban on grocery price gouging sounds like a...
I may have liked the end too, though I will need more time to digest. Rosemary’s baby is great. Still creepy as I recall. In that vein, we did...
Oh yes, in that regard, I entirely agree. And I think this outcome is largely for the better. I don’t want Trump being able to enact all of his...
Ok that was pretty creepy. My wife’s review is as follows: In the middle of the film: Where do you find these movies? After the film: That is not...
This is possible, though the mainstream parties seem to engage in running celebrity candidates as well (literally in the case of the head of the...
I think actions must constrained by the bounds of government, but I am not so sure about values. Oliver is pro-immigration and pro-gay rights. I...
It is difficult to prove these things, but they are possible. Still there is one thing that I think needs explaining: if the polls and markets are...
Thank you sir. Unrelated and off topic note: I’ve chosen Late Night with the Devil for my wife’s and my Halloween movie tonight. I’ll let you...
valid point, wgb. My view of him is mostly based on what he values, rather than what he would accomplish.
The question is a bit unfair, Bluke. It’s kind of like asking someone the benefits of being electrocuted without letting them compare that outcome...
