Well I wouldn’t call any of these people idiots either. I think the power of markets goes against many of our core intuitions. I definitely...
Well the point I meant to make was not about being legally barred from making statements, but instead not being attacked as literally “deranged”...
I wouldn’t be so sure. One, I don’t think river is really that kind of person, but two, many discount the knowledge aggregating power of markets....
So now that Trump’s the favorite, are posters allowed to mention him without being told they are deranged for even bringing him up?
Im not sure “oddsmakers are generally not wrong” is exactly the right way to say it, but I do think there is good reason to believe that...
I agree with @rivergator that these kinds of bets are silly. Now ones where you have to buy other posters a beer, that is a bet worth making. And...
The question of why the universe is orderly is most fascinating. In addition to why is it here to begin with. I think science is our best tool to...
Indeed, even the most rigorous mathematical analysis must rest upon foundational assumptions, which by their nature cannot be justified by...
I am not sure why the video’s starting place matters. The point is that in the standard model of evolution, changes are gradual. Your description...
Maybe so, but then everyone always thinks it’s the other guy that is operating on faith. Regardless of how humans actually got here, what I can...
I am no authority on what exactly is an addiction, but that is beside my point. Clearly, owning mansions and nice cars must feel good with the way...
The idea that a species comes into existence “one day” is a common misconception. There is no day at all. All offspring look basically just like...
I addressed both of these points in the post above. 1. That I am putting the burden of proof on you. I would say that I’m not doing this; it’s...
First, I gave you a really tough problem that is difficult for almost anyone to answer for any question of value. I do think it’s a good question,...
I do agree that people are often at the mercy of their handlers, eg parties won’t support you unless you do X, and without party support, you...
I wonder about the extent of human reason. How could we know if humans are or are not altering Earth’s climate? You seem convinced they are not,...
You know, until just now when I saw a rating from each of you juxtaposed against one another, I had never noticed that @snatchmagnet and...
I know it does feel like with these stories coming out all time, but I understand that this is not really representative of our politicians. Most...
Definitely anything can happen here. I feel like Florida likely has more talent, but the inconsistency makes it a tough prediction. Um, let’s say…...
Agreed. That seems to be the one example that we have, though it seems to come with qualifications. “Even the rare mea culpa seems to bear an...
