1. Predictions aren’t about how much someone wants us to win. They are about how many wins we will actually have. 2. The season isn’t over yet. We...
I think you have this backwards. What I’m suggesting is that if you don’t know what the evidence would look like, then of course you would never...
Oh don’t let my comment indicate that I didn’t enjoy that win. That was a fantastically gritty and exciting effort of which I am indeed proud....
My aim here was much less ambitious than evidencing climate change itself. I was only asking about what would count as evidence of the much...
Not to be that guy, but I am not sure that getting to 5 wins after a 4th quarter comeback win over South Carolina is deserving of too much crowing.
I think we are still having a miscommunication. Maybe it would be useful if I reframed the issue slightly. Let’s forget about “consensus”, since...
Most evenly matched Florida contest I’ve seen in a long time. I know that was a heartbreaker from your end, but you guys are doing some battle...
Ah, perhaps I understand better now. One, we dealt with the publishing part above by showing the results of direct surveys. Two, this claim of...
I think we all agree that Earth’s temperature is influenced by many factors, so it isn’t unreasonable to be uncertain of the exact extent of the...
I guess Im confused. I thought your critique was that it isn’t necessarily valid to infer the internal beliefs of the authors based only on their...
You’re right that the people that don’t eat as well as they’d like usually don’t ask for sugary foods to be taxed, but I think that just makes...
Actually they looked at both estimates based on publication (blue) and those that aren’t (red). [IMG] This one is also based on direct surveys...
Im not a believer in poor induction, so even if they offered 2,000 other failed predictions, it would have nothing to do with this one. Imagine...
Damned if you, damned if you don’t, I guess.
I gave you a link that makes a pretty earnest attempt at answering this question. Fact Checking The Claim Of 97% Consensus On Anthropogenic...
This seems like a shaky use of inductive reasoning to me. Because Paul Ehrlich was wrong about famine in the 60s, then the entire field of...
Proof is a challenging concept for science, so I would agree as written. I would add that the lack of proof doesn’t preclude the existence of...
This article made me think of our conversation. “On Wednesday, Dr. Grimalda said he was being fired from the Kiel Institute for the World...
I am a bit more of a fence-sitter on this issue, about which I will admit great ignorance, but I don’t mind your more pragmatic approach. I do...
I told you that you were going to jinx it if you left that comma splice in the post! :D
