I expected it. Trump inherited an economy that might have already been in a recession in 2024. Trump's ratings are still pretty high. I won't be surprised if his rating falls below 40 as happened to Reagan. To my recollection,Trump (first term) and Obama were both -26 (26 points underwater) in approval ratings. Bush 43 and Biden were both -30. These numbers are from Rasmussen. Could be wrong but I believe I once read that the US has on average been in a recession for 7 months before the NBER (National Bureau of Economic Analysis) calls it a recession. The NBER will make the call on when this recession started (if we are actually in a recession). During a recession, no matter whose fault it is, presidential approval numbers will fall. Historically the US goes into a recession every 4-7 years (I believe). Not much Trump can do about it imo. If you guys want to say tariffs exacerbated the recession I won't argue the point. Regardless of the economics and whether tariffs help or hurt the economy, I think even some of you Democrats would concede we don't want to be beholden to China and other countries for items critical to US national security. For those items would you agree that maybe tariffs are warranted to help US companies manufacture them while making a reasonable profit?
It will probably drop much more, the inflationary impact of his tariffs has yet to hit and similarly neither has the increased employment rate from the tariffs or his DOGEing of Federal employees. Speaking of DOGE the impact of co-President Musk's gutting of the Social Security Administration or the VA hasn't hit either. I don't see a diminution of of service to elderly and/or disabled voters or to veterans going over very well either.
Which is more craptastic?! Trump 1.0 featuring bleach injection, insurrection and double impeachment? Or Trump 2.0 featuring a Star Wars bar scene of Cabinet appointments, buffoonish intelligence lapses, and cartoonish economy-destroying tariffs? Sadly - only one vote per person.
Never thought that I would say it I miss Trump 1.0. Trump 2.0 has done more damage to the US in a little over two months much of it close to being irreversible than Trump 1.0 did in four years.
We are dismantling everything that could help us survive another pandemic at the same time as we are attempting to create another pandemic through anti vaccination stupidity. Dont think bleach injection, dewormer and a rectal UV light are off the Trump 2.0 list yet.
Yes I am in favor of tariffs when there is a plan that plan involves targeting a specific industry within a specific country. Right now Trump has no plan and you can see that through the blanket tariffs. The economy is like a house and tariffs are a tool in your toolbox. Each item in your toolbox has a specific use case.
In the end George W. Bush's approval rating during his second term is probably the most accurate model for the trajectory of Trump's approval rating with the major difference is that Trump will ending tanking to the point in which he will be unable to recover less than six months into his term. It took Bush roughly two years to reach that point. Like Bush Trump won a narrow victory and thought that he had a mandate for radical change. The difference is Bush wasn't nearly as responsible for the implosion of the housing market the way Trump is for the soon to be economic disaster resulting from the same tariff policy that Hoover and the Republicans tried in 1930 when the Smoot Hawley tariff was enacted.
Speaking of Rasmussen: Trump approval rating goes negative with Republican pollster for first time According to Rasmussen's daily poll tracker, as of April 4, Trump's approval rating sits at 49 percent, while 50 percent disapprove of his job performance. That is the first time in Trump's second term that Rasmussen's tracker has shown the president with a net negative approval rating. On April 3, Trump's approval rating dipped below 50 points for the first time. Rasmussen is generally considered as a Republican-leaning pollster. Many polls have shown the president's approval rating on the decline in recent days. Newsweek's average of the 10 most recently published polls shows that Trump's approval rating stands at 47 percent, while 49 percent disapprove. That is a decline from early March, when Trump's approval rating was at 49 percent, while 47 percent disapproved. Said it before the trajectory of Trump's approval will track that of George W. Bush's during Bush's second term. Like Bush Trump was elected/reelected by a very narrow margin and thought that he had a mandate for radical change and unlike Bush whose approval ratings went negative after he only proposed a radical change (partial privatization of Social Security) Trump has actually implemented more radical changes than any of his predecessors with the possible exception of FDR in 1933 and that was after FDR was elected with one of the largest margins in history and during the bottom of the Great Depression. Trump is tanking the economy with the likely result being stagflation for the first time since 1970s and negative impact of his DOGE cuts has yet to hit. Social Security has been called the third rail of American politics and his reduction of the number of Social Security employees combined with the loss of phone service and closure of dozens if not hundreds of social security field offices not going to go over very well with recipients of SS benefits and keep in mind that recipients of social security disability benefits reside disproportionately in "red" states.
Latest update: Donald Trump suffers quadruple approval rating blow The latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted between April 3-7 shows that Trump's approval rating among 1,407 registered voters currently stands at 41 percent, while 53 percent disapprove of the way he is handling his job as president. The poll had a margin of error of +/- 3 points. That is down from February, when Quinnipiac's poll showed that 45 percent approved of Trump, while 49 percent disapproved. Trump's average was also down in a YouGov/Economist poll, conducted between April 5-8 among 1,563 registered voters showed that Trump's overall approval stands at 43 percent, with 51 percent disapproving, for a net approval of -8, which is a 5-point drop from the week before and a 14-point decline since he took office earlier this year. The margin of error for this poll is +/- 3 points. Two polls that were previously positive for Trump More bad news came for Trump in Rasmussen's daily tracker, which shows Trump's approval rating at 47 points, while his disapproval sits at 52 points. That is Trump's lowest approval rating with the pollster yet since beginning his second term. A HarrisX poll conducted between April 4 and 7 among 1,883 registered voters found that Trump's overall approval rating has dropped 7 points since March 21, 47 percent approving and 49 percent disapproving. The margin of error for the total sample was +/- 2 percentage points.
Today's update Donald Trump's approval rating is falling among Republicans Not sure that it matters very much since his approval rating among Republicans is still positive by a huge margin although it can be indicative of the beginning of a trend.
IMO, the big takeaway from all this is how committed the cult is to their Dear Leader. Just due to sheer incompetence and abject clownishness (if not criminality, or willful self-enriching), the Trumpy Clown has added appx 30 bps to the 10-yr bond yield, and almost double that from where it was a week ago. He's carved about 15% off US stock indices .......... and this is all just by choosing to be an abject dipchit. And yet .................... Trump's approval rating among Republicans currently stands at 86 percent. That is down marginally from Quinnipiac's last poll, conducted between March 6-10 which put Trump's approval rating among Republicans at 89 percent. This guy could literally shoot someone in the middle of 5th Avenue. It's insane, what do they love? The racism?
https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumer-confidence-sinks-further-umich-says-c3c09654?mod=mhp More winning. The University of Michigan’s consumer-sentiment index, released Friday, nosedived to 50.8 in April from 57 last month. Sentiment has been falling steadily throughout 2025. Expectations for inflation also hit the highest level in 44 years, according to the survey.
Daily Update Also remember that there has been very little actual impact of Trump's proposed tariffs. When they actually starting having an impact on prices the proverbial sh*t will really hit the fan. How Donald Trump's approval rating has sunk, in charts
70% of our economy is consumer spending. Consumer confidence hit its 2nd lowest reading ever. The only thing driving confidence down is Trump’s economic policy. I am not sure how long people can watch Trump drive our economy into a wall wearing a red hat but it seems they would rather die economically than admit he’s making an obvious mistake. Never seen anything like this even at the company level, much less nation level.
