Voter Registrations in Florida

Duh! I'm bolding what I bring in from the articles since you refuse to open links provided to read for yourself.

 

Highlighted at the Trump Butler Rally was a young fellow named Scott Pressler. He has been working Pennsylvania hard. He also put a spotlight on the Pennsylvania Department of State which was going to shutdown registrations during the Trump rally to do maintenance. They changed course and ended up doing the maintenance in overnight as they likely always do.

The republican advantage in registrations has been going up every week. The difference is more pronounced this week likely due to the Butler Rally. I don't think we've seen the full benefits of the rally as of this morning which means there will likely be big jumps to the plus side over the next 2 weeks.

I was originally making difference projections in the mid 330Ks by 10/21, but I'm thinking a number less than 310K now. It's looking more and more like republicans will be the majority party by the 2026 midterms.

 

Voter registration, confirming already registered voter registrations, and getting out the vote was a major production prior to Trump speaking.

Elon Musk was invited up by Trump to speak. He was like a broken record, confirm your registration, register if you haven't, and not only vote but get all your friends and relatives out to vote. Elon said he was serious in saying that 2024 may be the last presidential election if Kamala Harris wins.

Musk also put freedom of speech and censorship on the ballot. He said you can't have a democracy without freedom of speech and the second amendment to protect the 1st amendment.

Scott Pressler's message was similar to Musk's except he didn't come out and say he was worried this would be the US last presidential election. Pressler challenged all gun owners to get out and vote as nothing is more important than voting at this time. Apparently, gun owners don't vote in high numbers.

Trump said any Christian or Jew who votes democrat has to be an idiot.

 

Final update on Pennsylvania Voter Registrations:

currentvotestats.xls

Voter Registrations by Party through October 21, 2024 - Today is the last day to register for the November 5, 2024 national election:

Democrats 3,971,607
Republicans 3,673,783
Difference 297,824
Republican Favored One-Week Difference 14,901

Registrations for the election are closed. The republicans closed on a roll with momentum. The momentum has also been showing in the most current polling.

Voter Registrations by Party through October 14, 2024:

Democrats 3,958,835
Republicans 3,646,110
Difference 312,725
Republican Favored One-Week Difference 12,760
10/21 Projected Difference 299,965

Momentum with 1 week until registrations close on 10/21 for the 2024 election on November 5 continues on the side of the republicans and continues to accelerate. The one-week difference ending on 10/14 was the highest it has been in the republican's favor.

Voter Registrations by Party through September 30, 2024:

Democrats 3,941,347
Republicans 3,608,032
Difference 333,315
Republican Favored One-Week Difference 5,081
10/21 Projected Difference 318,072

 

Final Update on Florida Voter Registrations Before 2024 Elections:

Voter Registration - By Party Affiliation - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State

As of 12/31/2023:

Republicans 5,141,848
Democrats 4,362,147
Difference 779,701

As of May 31, 2024:

Republicans 5,227,223
Democrats 4,296,552
Difference 930,671

As of June 30, 2024:

Republicans 5,257,407
Democrats 4,300,964
Difference 956,433

As of July 31, 2024

Republicans 5,324,654
Democrats 4,327,859
Difference 996,795

As of August 31, 2024

Republicans 5,385,554
Democrats 4.359,354
Difference 1,026,200

Final Report Before Election:

Voter Registration - By Party Affiliation - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State

As of September 30, 2024

Republicans 5,455,480
Democrats 4,400,561
Difference 1,054,919

Republican projected difference through the October 7, 2024 registration deadline to vote in the national election, 1,061,620.

 

One would have thought the republican voter registrations onslaught on Pennsylvania would have slowed down after the 10/21 deadline to register to vote for the 2024 presidential election. That did not happen as the shift to republicans continued at an even faster pace:

Voter Registrations by Party through 10/28/2024:

Democrats 3,991,381
Republicans 3,710,290
Difference 281,091
Republican Favored One-Week Difference 16,733

If this acceleration continues over the next 2 years in favor of the republicans, Pennsylvania will be a red state by the 2026 midterms.

 

The Big Blue Wall is no longer big, blue, or a wall.

You can take Pennsylvania out of the wall now:

Trump won the Pennsylvania by 2%. It's clear Pennsylvania independents broke for Trump.

Mike McCormick is defeating incumbent Bob Casey Jr. for the US Senate. McCormick's lead has been running less that .50%, currently .46%/31,054 votes, so there may be a delay in declaring the winner as Pennsylvania law requires recounts of results of .50% and less. McCormick will have to go above .50% to avoid the recount. I'm confident this will be a state-wide race win for the republicans, something that hasn't happened in a few election cycles.

I'm also confident the Pennsylvania voter registration trends will continue to favor republicans. Republicans could surpass democrats in Pennsylvania by midterms 2026, but certainly by the 2028 presidential election.

I look forward to Pennsylvania becoming more like Ohio than Michigan and Wisconsin in voting. That day is coming as Pennsylvania voters have crumbled the largest part of the Big Blue Wall.

 

Voter Registration - By Party Affiliation - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State

As of 12/31/2023:

Republicans 5,141,848
Democrats 4,362,147
Difference 779,701

As of May 31, 2024:

Republicans 5,227,223
Democrats 4,296,552
Difference 930,671

As of June 30, 2024:

Republicans 5,257,407
Democrats 4,300,964
Difference 956,433

As of July 31, 2024

Republicans 5,324,654
Democrats 4,327,859
Difference 996,795

As of August 31, 2024

Republicans 5,385,554
Democrats 4.359,354
Difference 1,026,200

As of September 30, 2024

Republicans 5,455,480
Democrats 4,400,561
Difference 1,054,919

As of October 31, 2024

Republicans 5,592,151
Democrats 4,480,006
Difference 1,112,145

The beat goes on with the republican domination of Florida. If anyone had thoughts that Florida was still a swing state or could be, the 2024 elections showed that not to be true beyond any doubt. The Free State of Florida is deep red.

Independents for those who harbor thoughts they are suddenly going to stop voting with republicans in large numbers: 3,683,097. Good luck with your delusions.

 

Voter Registration - By Party Affiliation - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State

Florida keeps getting redder and redder. Registrations by party on January 31, 2025:

Data as of January 31, 2025.

Republicans Democrats Minor No Party Total

5,643,100

4,463,592

431,269

3,709,462

14,247,423

October 31,2024
Republicans 5,592,151
Democrats 4,480,006
Difference 1,112,145

January 31, 2025
Republicans 5,643,100
Democrats 4,463,592
Difference 1,179,508

In 3 months, the edge of growth for republicans over democrats is 67,363, a monthly average of 22,454. This is continued growth in the difference since the election as registrations closed in October 2024 prior to the start of voting. I know what goes around eventually comes around, but this feels great here in the Free State of Florida.